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Post by patman post on Jan 22, 2024 15:36:50 GMT
England's population is 57 million, while Wales's population is 3.2 million, Scotland's pop is 5.5 million, and NI's pop is 2 million. In total the devolved parts of the UK total approx one six of the UK pop. The drop in public satisfaction across the whole UK from 70% to under 30% since the Tories won power, would seem to indicate failings by the UK government over its 13+years in power — whatever the antics of the devolved administrations. If the current Tory government cannot convince the enough voters it can handle failings as detailed below, why would voters want to stick with them? Promised tax cuts and demonising immigrants will need to be really ramped up to bring voters on-side... According to figures obtained from 84 NHS trusts and health boards through Freedom of Information requests, there have been at least 13,000 diagnoses of malnutrition, 15,000 of rickets and more than 150 cases of scurvy in the first 12 months of Sunak’s premiership.
LBC’s findings, which have been described as “shocking” by Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer, represent a dramatic increase in the incidence of Victorian-era diseases in Britain and suggest that the true extent of the problem remains underreported.
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Post by thomas on Jan 22, 2024 18:28:19 GMT
OPINION: Labour are breaking all the wrong records on NHS in Wales
Well, the latest statistics show Wales just recorded the worst A&E waits, longest NHS treatment list, and second-slowest ambulance response times on record.
One-in-five people are on a waiting list in Wales. That means, on average, when you walk past four people, one of you is waiting for NHS treatment.
You may think that it’s probably just as bad elsewhere in the UK. And while it is a difficult situation nationally, it is awful in Wales.
www.countytimes.co.uk/news/20154194.opinion-labour-breaking-wrong-records-nhs-wales/
NHS Wales: Doctors' union says service is unreliable
The erosion of the NHS in Wales means it can no longer be relied on, the head of the body representing doctors has said. BMA Cymru chairwoman Dr Iona Collins said long waiting times was leading to the deterioration of patients' health. About 30,000 people in Wales have been waiting more than two years after being referred for hospital treatment.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-66030278
Proof a Labour-run NHS would NOT be any better? Outrage over A&E waiting times 'scandal' in Wales as it's revealed hospitals have massively under-counted true situation for 10 years
Tories today accused Labour of 'hiding' the true reality of dire A&E delays after it emerged that waiting times in Wales have been massively underreported over the past decade.
Approximately 45,000 patients made to spend at least four hours in casualty were quietly scrubbed from official statistics under a loophole this year alone.
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Post by Pacifico on Jan 22, 2024 18:31:28 GMT
Is anything that Labour run better?
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Post by thomas on Jan 22, 2024 18:33:18 GMT
Is anything that Labour run better? not in my experience, and often demonstrably worse.
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Post by patman post on Jan 23, 2024 18:50:20 GMT
Will it matter what Labour's past UK (or devolved) records are when the General Election comes? My bet is that most voters will stick loyally to their traditional party, vote tactically (either for or against, whatever), or be guided by the events and their feelings in the past few weeks.
LibDems could just tread water, but I doubt the various devolved parties will affect the outcome. Wouldn't surprise me if Reform spread itself so thinly it has little success in terms of seats won, but it might scupper the Tories.
Repeated news items could strike a chord — ie, strikes, rising prices and poverty, health and welfare shortcomings, and maybe even coverage of US presidential elections. I think the middle ground is just fed up with the Tories and is likely to plump for Labour, just for a change. The Tories need a good war or a cultural one (eg, against immigrants) to hold ground — one deported migrant to Rwanda might be enough...
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Post by andrewbrown on Jan 23, 2024 23:42:55 GMT
Simon Clarke drops resignation bombshell demand on Sunak in the Telegraph. Doesn't look like he has any support, so one wonders what he is trying to achieve. (Although to be fair you could say the same about Sunak! 🤣)
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Post by thomas on Jan 24, 2024 8:45:21 GMT
Simon Clarke drops resignation bombshell demand on Sunak in the Telegraph. Doesn't look like he has any support, so one wonders what he is trying to achieve. (Although to be fair you could say the same about Sunak! 🤣) Andrew , it's pretty much obvious Sunak is universally despised , both within and without the tory party. Whats interesting is the same can be said for starmer in terms of within and without labour. Labour under starmer appear to be the least radical , least ambitious opposition party in uk political history. People want change , and change clearly isn't on offer from starmer, just more of the same with a bit of tinkering. European politics is similar , with European nations up in arms protesting about a wide variety of globalist liberal policies. With trump all but being confirmed as the yank republican candidate for the presidential election , and the two main parties in the yookay being universally despised , its shaping up to be an interesting year ahead for us political geeks.
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Post by Hutchyns on Jan 24, 2024 9:28:29 GMT
andrewbrown Drumming up some pre-publicity ahead of the 4th February launch of PopCon perhaps ? It'll have done no harm in helping attract a few more journalists along to what might have been a sparsely attended gathering.
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Post by patman post on Jan 24, 2024 10:00:08 GMT
andrewbrown Drumming up some pre-publicity ahead of the 4th February launch of PopCon perhaps ? It'll have done no harm in helping attract a few more journalists along to what might have been a sparsely attended gathering. PopCorn seems a good name for what's a particularly uninspiring group within a political party that's split so widely by different factions that it's already all but imploding...
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Post by andrewbrown on Jan 24, 2024 10:59:12 GMT
andrewbrown Drumming up some pre-publicity ahead of the 4th February launch of PopCon perhaps ? It'll have done no harm in helping attract a few more journalists along to what might have been a sparsely attended gathering. Thanks, I hadn't heard of that one. It didn't get a mention on any of the reports I watched or heard, so perhaps his free publicity was wasted.
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Post by Red Rackham on Jan 24, 2024 21:19:32 GMT
YouGov survey, most detailed in five years, predicts that Conservatives will retain just 169 seats as Labour sweeps to power with 385 - linkAn interesting graphic. The Tories will likely get a kicking but personally I doubt it will be quite this bad, and I think this poll is very flattering for the LibDems who are currently in fourth place behind Reform UK.
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Post by dappy on Jan 24, 2024 22:35:19 GMT
It seems to be a common expectation that the Tories will close some of the gap. An expectation I have myself. But in truth that seems to be more based on emotion and disbelief than anything more substantive. Maybe it will stay the same. Maybe it will get worse for the Tories. Maybe it will end up with a Canada style meltdown. Who knows?
As for Reform and the Lib Dem’s you would be forgiven for thinking that Reform were consistently out performing Lib Dem’s if you relied on GB News and the Express and lacked the intellectual curiousity to seek out the actual truth. Britain Elects reports all polls . It’s close between the two but LDs still coming out slightly ahead on majority. Of course in the mad electoral system we have, number of votes matters little and the realities of vote distribution mean that on 10% of the national vote, LD would probably end up with around 40 seats this time around and Reform probably with zero. I have no love for Reform but no representation on a double digit share of the vote would be grossly unfair.
As we know though Reform have an unfortunate habit of massively underperforming in actual elections compared to poll projections. Don’t think anyone really knows why. Wellingborough - a perfect seat for Reform - will be a big test . If they are a serious player, I don’t think they can get close to winning but really should be getting over 20% of the vote there. Much less and it does suggest they are largely irrelevant.
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Post by Pacifico on Jan 24, 2024 22:41:30 GMT
Looking at that graphic it has my constituency turning to the LibDems. Considering that we have been Tory since 1885 and the Tories have never fallen below 41% of the vote, I'd be surprised.
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Post by dappy on Jan 24, 2024 22:46:27 GMT
Which is your constituency?
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Post by Pacifico on Jan 24, 2024 22:58:31 GMT
West Dorset
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