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Post by Bentley on Feb 7, 2024 16:46:09 GMT
Rishi united the country after Truss and the UK has flourished..
🙄
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Post by Dogburger on Feb 7, 2024 16:58:42 GMT
The vast majority don't consider Truss an abject failure ,she wasn't in charge for long enough to be so. Those that were paying attention saw a Conservative with Conservative policies and a plan for growth that the globalists didn't like . They wanted their man Sunak in charge so did all they could to prove him right with interest rate hikes and doom and gloom forecasts . The markets panicked and Truss was marched out of the room The irony of course that after spending a year dismissing Truss's tax cutting policies the first thing Hunt did (brought in to steady the fiscal ship) was , yep , cut taxes . It's necessary for growth he said , the time is right to cut taxes LOL So you could say if Hunt is being held up as the brains behind the current outfit is that Truss was far from a failure but that she was right all along . By the time Hunt has another round of tax cuts this year especially if he cuts corporation tax He will more or less be in the same place Truss was when she left No 10. I need to type quicker ,or stop watching the lunchtime news , So why did Tory polling collapse during her watch? Bearing in mind that it had fallen a great deal due to Boris, some stability was needed, and she certainly didn't provide that. In her defence, I would say that she is not a comfortable communicator and that probably didn't help her. Did it ? They (the pollsters ) must have been asking the wrong people ,they often do .
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Post by Pacifico on Feb 7, 2024 17:08:35 GMT
The vast majority don't consider Truss an abject failure ,she wasn't in charge for long enough to be so. Those that were paying attention saw a Conservative with Conservative policies and a plan for growth that the globalists didn't like . They wanted their man Sunak in charge so did all they could to prove him right with interest rate hikes and doom and gloom forecasts . The markets panicked and Truss was marched out of the room The irony of course that after spending a year dismissing Truss's tax cutting policies the first thing Hunt did (brought in to steady the fiscal ship) was , yep , cut taxes . It's necessary for growth he said , the time is right to cut taxes LOL So you could say if Hunt is being held up as the brains behind the current outfit is that Truss was far from a failure but that she was right all along . By the time Hunt has another round of tax cuts this year especially if he cuts corporation tax He will more or less be in the same place Truss was when she left No 10. I need to type quicker ,or stop watching the lunchtime news , So why did Tory polling collapse during her watch? Bearing in mind that it had fallen a great deal due to Boris, some stability was needed, and she certainly didn't provide that. In her defence, I would say that she is not a comfortable communicator and that probably didn't help her. Sunak is polling at the same level as Truss - seems that ditching her growth policies for simply more managed decline isn't particularly popular
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Post by andrewbrown on Feb 7, 2024 17:09:37 GMT
So why did Tory polling collapse during her watch? Bearing in mind that it had fallen a great deal due to Boris, some stability was needed, and she certainly didn't provide that. In her defence, I would say that she is not a comfortable communicator and that probably didn't help her. Sunak is polling at the same level as Truss - seems that ditching her growth policies for simply more managed decline isn't particularly popular On that we agree. 👍
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Post by Deleted on Feb 7, 2024 21:28:09 GMT
One thing that's odd is just how much Liz Truss' reputation among conservatives matters to people who aren't conservatives. It seems to come up again and again and again I do not normally talk about Truss anymore, a political failure and a has-been who wreaked disaster upon the economy but who has little relevance outside the Tory faithful. Of course those who loved the policies cannot bring themselves to acknowledge how disastrous they were so are forced to resort to unlikely conspiracies involving left wing civil servants and economists, bankers and stock market investors and big business, all working together to sabotage something that would otherwise have worked brilliantly. All to avoid recognising the unwelcome reality that unfunded tax cuts mostly for the better off are likely to be economically disastrous due to being unfunded, and unpopular for lining the pockets of those who already have most. Such policies cannot possibly be wrong because they support them with all their being, so sabotage is the only explanation they can come up with to avoid the painful acceptance that their beliefs have proven disastrous in practice. We see that even on this forum. And so they are deluding themselves to avoid having to ditch long cherished belief. As a foe of the Conservative party I am happy to see this delusion still being propagated. I would be as delighted as her deluded supporters if Truss were back in charge of the Tories, precisely because she would lead them to electoral disaster.
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Post by Orac on Feb 7, 2024 21:46:46 GMT
One thing that's odd is just how much Liz Truss' reputation among conservatives matters to people who aren't conservatives. It seems to come up again and again and again As a foe of the Conservative party I am happy to see this delusion still being propagated. I would be as delighted as her deluded supporters if Truss were back in charge of the Tories, precisely because she would lead them to electoral disaster. And this is entirely rational. However, it seems many of your fellow travelers simply can't help themselves - as if they themselves somewhat suspect the actual story may not be quite as simple as they would like it painted and are worried by conservatives suspecting the same. I mean - an economic theory you disagree with being shown incorrect and a leader being swapped out in a couple of weeks?. I have to say, t his is exactly what it would look like if you were being led by the nose. I would be suspicious if a socialist program failed in two weeks s and a new prime minister were appointed - and all of this pivoted around one minor tax policy. I guess we have different levels of gullibility and different models of how the world really works.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 7, 2024 21:59:15 GMT
As a foe of the Conservative party I am happy to see this delusion still being propagated. I would be as delighted as her deluded supporters if Truss were back in charge of the Tories, precisely because she would lead them to electoral disaster. And this is entirely rational. However, it seems many of your fellow travelers simply can't help themselves - as if they themselves somewhat suspect the actual story may not be quite as simple as they would like it painted and are worried by conservatives suspecting the same. I mean - an economic theory you disagree with being shown incorrect and a leader being swapped out in a couple of weeks?. I have to say, t his is exactly what it would look like if you were being led by the nose. I would be suspicious if a socialist program failed in two weeks s and a new prime minister were appointed - and all of this pivoted around one minor tax policy. I guess we have different levels of gullibility and different models of how the world really works. I think that unfunded tax cuts spooking the markets is far more likely than any unlikely conspiracy involving such unlikely bedfellows as the left and bankers and stock market traders, lol. But accepting the logic of that would mean having to conclude that your cherished beliefs about what would work have actually proven to be disastrous. So easier from your perspective to blame everyone else for the disaster except Truss and her policies. Because that allows you to continue to believe in them in spite of the disaster that unfolded. It would be intellectually far more courageous to accept the reality rather than resort to unlikely conspiracies in order to avoid doing so.
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Post by Orac on Feb 7, 2024 22:05:47 GMT
And this is entirely rational. However, it seems many of your fellow travelers simply can't help themselves - as if they themselves somewhat suspect the actual story may not be quite as simple as they would like it painted and are worried by conservatives suspecting the same. I mean - an economic theory you disagree with being shown incorrect and a leader being swapped out in a couple of weeks?. I have to say, t his is exactly what it would look like if you were being led by the nose. I would be suspicious if a socialist program failed in two weeks s and a new prime minister were appointed - and all of this pivoted around one minor tax policy. I guess we have different levels of gullibility and different models of how the world really works. I think that unfunded tax cuts spooking the markets is far more likely than any unlikely conspiracy involving such unlikely bedfellows as the left and bankers and stock market traders, lol. Markets can be spooked by rumours, leaks and negative briefings. This is the method that was used. The issue was in reality very minor, but even a minor issue can be made major by convincing people that others think it's major. Influence circuits were used to do this. additionally, you don't have to fund tax cuts, you have to fund spending - so if there was an issue, it was an issue with spending. We have been over this before but, for some reason, you don't seem able to accept it as a difference of opinion. This is your subconscious bothering you.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 7, 2024 22:18:13 GMT
I think that unfunded tax cuts spooking the markets is far more likely than any unlikely conspiracy involving such unlikely bedfellows as the left and bankers and stock market traders, lol. Markets can be spooked by rumours, leaks and negative briefings. This is the method that was used. The issue was in reality very minor, but even a minor issue can be made major by convincing people that others think it's major. Influence circuits were used to do this. additionally, you don't have to fund tax cuts, you have to fund spending - so if there was an issue, it was an issue with spending. We have been over this before but, for some reason, you don't seem able to accept it as a difference of opinion. This is your subconscious bothering you. We have had that idiotic argument before......tax cuts need to be funded by cutting the services they were paying for, or replacing the services they were financing with more borrowing. They are never for free as you previously argued. They come at a price somewhere. There is no such thing as a free tax cut, anymore than there is a free spending increase. Nothing is for free. But if you wish to debate that silly assertion of yours again, please leave me out of it. As for your assertion without much in the way of evidence that a massive conspiracy destroyed Trussonomics, rather than except that Trussonomics itself was the problem. I do think you are the one who clearly needs to have a word with your subconscious.
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Post by Orac on Feb 7, 2024 22:26:30 GMT
Markets can be spooked by rumours, leaks and negative briefings. This is the method that was used. The issue was in reality very minor, but even a minor issue can be made major by convincing people that others think it's major. Influence circuits were used to do this. additionally, you don't have to fund tax cuts, you have to fund spending - so if there was an issue, it was an issue with spending. We have been over this before but, for some reason, you don't seem able to accept it as a difference of opinion. This is your subconscious bothering you. We have had that idiotic argument before......tax cuts need to be funded by cutting the services they were paying for, or replacing the services they were financing with more borrowing. They are never for free as you previously argued. They come at a price somewhere. There is no such thing as a free tax cut, anymore than there is a free spending increase. Nothing is for free. But if you wish to debate that silly assertion of yours again, please leave me out of it. The issue was with spending rather than tax cuts and this is another dimension of how artificially constructed the issue was. While future spending is fixed and predictable, future revenues depend on how an economy reacts to whatever policies are implemented - hence Laffer curve etc. Future revenues are to some degree a 'political guess'.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 7, 2024 22:51:04 GMT
We have had that idiotic argument before......tax cuts need to be funded by cutting the services they were paying for, or replacing the services they were financing with more borrowing. They are never for free as you previously argued. They come at a price somewhere. There is no such thing as a free tax cut, anymore than there is a free spending increase. Nothing is for free. But if you wish to debate that silly assertion of yours again, please leave me out of it. The issue was with spending rather than tax cuts and this is another dimension of how artificially constructed the issue was. While future spending is fixed and predictable, future revenues depend on how an economy reacts to whatever policies are implemented - hence Laffer curve etc. Future revenues are to some degree a 'political guess'. Tax changes can indeed affect future revenues over and beyond any direct drop in revenue resulting from the cut. But the same is true of public spending and investment. Both could potentially grow the economy. But both need to be made financially viable in the shorter term or they risk tanking the economy. As Truss did. The politics also matter as much as the economics. Tax cuts that appear - and can easily be presented as being by opponents - targeted mostly towards the better off will not go down well when so many are on the breadline. Tax cuts should be aimed much more at those on low and medium incomes, if and when they become affordable. People will accept tax cuts at the top if middle and lower earners benefit more greatly. But it will tank the economy unless it can be demonstrated to be affordable.
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Post by Pacifico on Feb 7, 2024 23:00:12 GMT
And this is entirely rational. However, it seems many of your fellow travelers simply can't help themselves - as if they themselves somewhat suspect the actual story may not be quite as simple as they would like it painted and are worried by conservatives suspecting the same. I mean - an economic theory you disagree with being shown incorrect and a leader being swapped out in a couple of weeks?. I have to say, t his is exactly what it would look like if you were being led by the nose. I would be suspicious if a socialist program failed in two weeks s and a new prime minister were appointed - and all of this pivoted around one minor tax policy. I guess we have different levels of gullibility and different models of how the world really works. I think that unfunded tax cuts spooking the markets is far more likely than any unlikely conspiracy involving such unlikely bedfellows as the left and bankers and stock market traders, lol. It was not the tax cuts that the market did not like about the Truss budget - it was the massive increase in open-ended Government welfare spending. Truss committed to 2 years of subsidy for energy bills at a cost of well over £100 Billion - as soon as Sunak was installed that support was reduced to just 6 months.
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Post by Orac on Feb 7, 2024 23:13:39 GMT
The issue was with spending rather than tax cuts and this is another dimension of how artificially constructed the issue was. While future spending is fixed and predictable, future revenues depend on how an economy reacts to whatever policies are implemented - hence Laffer curve etc. Future revenues are to some degree a 'political guess'. Tax changes can indeed affect future revenues over and beyond any direct drop in revenue resulting from the cut. But the same is true of public spending and investment. Both could potentially grow the economy. But both need to be made financially viable in the shorter term or they risk tanking the economy. As Truss did. The politics also matter as much as the economics. Tax cuts that appear - and can easily be presented as being by opponents - targeted mostly towards the better off will not go down well when so many are on the breadline. Tax cuts should be aimed much more at those on low and medium incomes, if and when they become affordable. People will accept tax cuts at the top if middle and lower earners benefit more greatly. But it will tank the economy unless it can be demonstrated to be affordable. You are now waffling in circles around my point. Spending can increase revenues but my point was not that they could't but that revenues are significantly a matter of political opinion and economic theory. What we have is a minor technicality in a minor budget, vastly overshadowed on all sides by huge amounts of borrowing, a history of economic fakery and decades of absurd, unnecessary spending. If you actually think that this tiny technicality tanked the economy, you have some gullibility issues. Of course, it's far easier to fool someone who wants to be fooled. The second part of what you wrote makes more sense - ie influential opponents of the policy used it as a lever - and they had their interests (rather than yours) in mind when they did so. I never said Truss was a clever politician to do what she did - she probably she imagined she would get support for a conservative policy from the Conservative party . A naive person with the right idea.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 7, 2024 23:28:45 GMT
Tax changes can indeed affect future revenues over and beyond any direct drop in revenue resulting from the cut. But the same is true of public spending and investment. Both could potentially grow the economy. But both need to be made financially viable in the shorter term or they risk tanking the economy. As Truss did. The politics also matter as much as the economics. Tax cuts that appear - and can easily be presented as being by opponents - targeted mostly towards the better off will not go down well when so many are on the breadline. Tax cuts should be aimed much more at those on low and medium incomes, if and when they become affordable. People will accept tax cuts at the top if middle and lower earners benefit more greatly. But it will tank the economy unless it can be demonstrated to be affordable. You are now waffling in circles around my point. Spending can increase revenues but my point was not that they could't but that revenues are significantly a matter of political opinion and economic theory. What we have is a minor technicality in a minor budget, vastly overshadowed on all sides by huge amounts of borrowing, a history of economic fakery and decades of absurd, unnecessary spending. If you actually think that this technicality tanked the economy, you have some gullibility issues. Of course, it's far easier to fool someone who wants to be fooled. The second part of what you wrote makes more sense - ie influential opponents of the policy used it as a lever - and they had their interests (rather than yours) in mind when they did so. I never said Truss was a clever politician to do what she did - she probably she imagined she would get support for a conservative policy from the Conservative party . A naive person with the right idea. It is mildly entertaining to witness the intellectual somersaults in real time being played out before me to enable you to conclude that the disastrous Trussonomics were actually the right idea. You see me as someone wanting to be fooled into believing this, when you are so clearly fooling yourself in defence of a cherished idea proven to be disastrous. Do note that whatever the political or economic advisability of them or otherwise, I am not trying to argue that tax cuts per se are always going to tank the economy. It is the unfunded nature of either tax cuts or spending increases that will tank the economy. And it was this unfunded aspect that obviously fucked it all up. But clearly she is an ideological bedfellow of yours, believing that tax cuts are free and do not have to be budgeted for. Which is of course actually nonsense. A piece of economic illiteracy you insist on spouting even now which proves that you at least have learned nothing. I fear she probably hasnt either.
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Post by Orac on Feb 7, 2024 23:49:29 GMT
You are now waffling in circles around my point. Spending can increase revenues but my point was not that they could't but that revenues are significantly a matter of political opinion and economic theory. What we have is a minor technicality in a minor budget, vastly overshadowed on all sides by huge amounts of borrowing, a history of economic fakery and decades of absurd, unnecessary spending. If you actually think that this technicality tanked the economy, you have some gullibility issues. Of course, it's far easier to fool someone who wants to be fooled. The second part of what you wrote makes more sense - ie influential opponents of the policy used it as a lever - and they had their interests (rather than yours) in mind when they did so. I never said Truss was a clever politician to do what she did - she probably she imagined she would get support for a conservative policy from the Conservative party . A naive person with the right idea. It is mildly entertaining to witness the intellectual somersaults in real time being played out before me to enable you to conclude that the disastrous Trussonomics were actually the right idea. You see me as someone wanting to be fooled into believing this, when you are so clearly fooling yourself in defence of a cherished idea proven to be disastrous. Like i explained, it did not tank the economy and you are engaging in a childish level of confirmation bias if you sincerely believe it did. You are being led by the nose and allowing because it is easier and more comfortable not to think in this case and so that's what you are doing.
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