Big thank you to the Reform Party 🥳

Well according to political Analysts Reform won't win any seats .

According to political analysts  you linked reform 'could' win up to 20 seats . 

Where dose he say that.


Thanks to Reform, the Labour Party is currently projected to win 459 seats under Sir Keir Starmer's leadership, substantially more than Tony Blair garnered for Labour in 1997. Its support has risen by 10 percentage points thanks to the post-Corbyn party picking up support from first-time voters, about one-third of former Liberal Democrats and one-eighth of Tories. This is sufficient to give it an absolute majority in the House of Commons without any gaining additional seats thanks to Reform.

The Liberal Democrats also stand to gain greatly from the impact of Reform in the blue wall seats where Liberals are in second place. Electoral Calculus projects the Lib Dems taking 49 seats, more than double the likely number they would win without the impact of Reform.

Rishi Sunak has two options to regain Conservative seats. The easier target is the fifth of electors who don't know how they will vote but voted Conservative at the last election. Were he to regain the support of all of these uncertain electors, this would reduce the current Labour national lead to about 10 percent. However, this would only bring the Conservatives up to about 175 seats and Labour would win control of government.

The alternative for Sunak is to win back support from people who now say they will vote Reform. He is now attempting this with hard-right policies on such issues as immigration. If Sunak managed to regain half of Reform's 12 percent of supporters, the number of Conservative seats would rise to about 160. If Reform were to collapse and all its current supporters voted Tory, it would end up with about 225 MPs. Such a recovery would still leave Labour in government with a big enough majority to last to 2029.

There is always the possibility that Reform's support could increase, especially if Nigel Farage jumped on the Reform bandwagon. If Conservative defections added another 3 percent, it would still have difficulty winning any MPs but the Conservatives would fall to less than 60 MPs. If Reform were to rise to 18 percent, it would have more support than the Conservatives, but the Tories would have the bitter consolation of having 31 seats against one for Reform.

I think it's best to let it play out. The rich are fleeing the country whilst illegals are arriving with nothing to contribute. Anyone who even attempts to tackle any of the issues, like spending, are hated and voted out, so politics just remains in the short-term and passes the buck to the next poor sucker. It's reaching its crescendo and a Labour government cannot survive on propaganda alone. The longer they're kept in the worst it will be as this fall into the abyss continues.

TTL greater Manchester has a labour mayor and judging by his actions Steamer as pm will be a bigger disaster at worst or as bad at best than Sunak,it’s Buggins turn at its worst.

Westminster and its inhabitants need an overhaul,you may celebrate when the Blair puppet is made pm but for the people of this country they won’t be winners they will as usual lose out as the Westminster club takes care of its own.

Burnham has his eyes on being Sadiq Khan but the real prize is pm,he doesn’t give a stuff about Manchester.