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Post by zanygame on Feb 12, 2024 7:52:55 GMT
The problem, zany, is that there is no evidence that CO2 is the "predominant cause of climate change" - and there's no proof that the slight warming that we're (probably) experiencing even IS climate change. It may be just another blip like the "Early Twentieth Century Warming". There are so many possibilities of which CO2 is only one - and not a very likely one at that. What if all the pain we're suffering for "Net Zero" is a waste of time? What if the real reason for the (slight) warming we've experienced since 1850 is the 8 fold increase in human population in that perood and the 70% repurposing of the Earth's surface to support this population? You've never addressed this issue - you just run away. It's certainly well known that if we chop down forests it causes significant warming - and even more when we build on that land. Yet politicians continue to call for increases in population so that out govt's Ponzi schemes continue to work. This is all political. PS I was amused at Justin Rowlatt's comment a few days ago about the latest breach of 1.5C. He actually made a passing reference to the fact that the current El Nino may have given "a little extra oomph" to temperatures. The fact is that El Nino can raise the temperature of the surface of the ocean by 5C. There's loads of evidence that increased Co2 increases temperature. Only you and a few others deny this. Of course its increased population, producing more Co2 with their actions. THe answer is either cull the population (We could start with the deniers ) or reduce the Co2 each person produces. Every news bulletin I have seen that mentions high temperatures also mentions this year El nino. but anyway the scientists and governments know about it, so unless your a crazy arsed conspiracy theorist who thinks 95% of the scientific commmunity involved has been bought, then it doesn't matter. Your perpetual references to only the same small effects are testimony to your desperate clinging to your narrative, which is why I no longer engage in evidence based discussion with you.
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Post by steppenwolf on Feb 12, 2024 9:24:33 GMT
The problem, zany, is that there is no evidence that CO2 is the "predominant cause of climate change" - and there's no proof that the slight warming that we're (probably) experiencing even IS climate change. It may be just another blip like the "Early Twentieth Century Warming". There are so many possibilities of which CO2 is only one - and not a very likely one at that. What if all the pain we're suffering for "Net Zero" is a waste of time? What if the real reason for the (slight) warming we've experienced since 1850 is the 8 fold increase in human population in that perood and the 70% repurposing of the Earth's surface to support this population? You've never addressed this issue - you just run away. It's certainly well known that if we chop down forests it causes significant warming - and even more when we build on that land. Yet politicians continue to call for increases in population so that out govt's Ponzi schemes continue to work. This is all political. PS I was amused at Justin Rowlatt's comment a few days ago about the latest breach of 1.5C. He actually made a passing reference to the fact that the current El Nino may have given "a little extra oomph" to temperatures. The fact is that El Nino can raise the temperature of the surface of the ocean by 5C. There's loads of evidence that increased Co2 increases temperature. Only you and a few others deny this. Of course its increased population, producing more Co2 with their actions. THe answer is either cull the population (We could start with the deniers ) or reduce the Co2 each person produces. Every news bulletin I have seen that mentions high temperatures also mentions this year El nino. but anyway the scientists and governments know about it, so unless your a crazy arsed conspiracy theorist who thinks 95% of the scientific commmunity involved has been bought, then it doesn't matter. Your perpetual references to only the same small effects are testimony to your desperate clinging to your narrative, which is why I no longer engage in evidence based discussion with you. There's absolutely no evidence that CO2 increases temperatures in the Earth's system - unless you can quote me it. Any attempts to demonstrate it (and there have been a few) have failed - except in deserts and places with zero vegetation. In all other cases CO2 has not been shown to cause warming. On the other hand if you build a town a significant increase in temperature is very easy to demonstrate - despite the CO2 level being exactly the same as in the country.
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Post by Vinny on Feb 12, 2024 9:44:19 GMT
There is evidence regarding CO2 and infrared light and the effect of CO2 and other gases which reflect infrared back down to Earth in a greenhouse effect. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_gas
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Post by sandypine on Feb 12, 2024 9:47:15 GMT
But we are not doing nothing to address AGW just as we are not doing nothing to repair the roads. On the roads there is a balance between maintenance and disrepair and potholes will always exist to a greater or lesser degree. That balance is one that relies on various factors like cost and beneficial outcomes all of which we can broadly measure. With AGW the open ended nature you allude to results in an open ended demand for ever more sacrifice to meet the 'emergency'. There is no balance it is always more to meet the uncertain outcome that is never confirmed by the models and always stated to be dire even when they are not. I disagree. The reason that the work needed on climate change demands so much 'sacrifice' is because we did nothing for so many years. To continue the analogy. Had we noticed our roads were getting bad in 1980 but did nothing about it until now, the the repair bills would be enormous and the sacrifice needed very great. The work on climate change is not open ended, net zero is the end point. This is where the measure comes in, we can assess pretty accurately the state of repair or disrepair of the roads we have many measures that tell a tale and can supply accurate statistical details about what is going wrong and what needs to be done. Not so with AGW the only measures that are used are rife with disagreements, estimates, correction factors, assumptions and sometimes downright lies. These have been linked to on numerous occasions where doommongers tell us that X is happening when in reality X is not happening at all and the popular, and even the unpopular, press is full of such tales of woe. The tragedy is that there is now a massive vested financial interest in carbon and its control and the accent is on stopping the bulk of teh world's populations emitting much carbon at all whilst 'our betters' manage to offset their emissions by buying up land and forests that are doing that job anyway but then they claim it as theirs. To carry this on to the roads analogy it is like not worrying too much about the potholes but there being so little traffic that those of 'our betters' that do use the roads can easily drive around them.
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Post by The Squeezed Middle on Feb 12, 2024 10:48:18 GMT
The problem, zany, is that there is no evidence that CO2 is the "predominant cause of climate change"... OTOH, there is substantial evidence that warming causes CO2 and not the other way around. But regardless of facts, it is clear that much of the agenda runs counter to the narrative.
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Post by The Squeezed Middle on Feb 12, 2024 10:55:52 GMT
Let's take two examples of climate change agendaism*: Here in Londonistan we have Khan's very own ULEZ: A tax which forces people to scrap perfectly good vehicles (which are ironically then sold elsewhere in the world) in order to purchase newer, environmentally dubious electric cars when everyone knows that the greenest thing you can do with an older car is to keep it running for as long as possible and replace at the end of it's natural lifespan. Or how about the current farming debacle unfolding across Europe: Where farmers are told to stop growing food (another of the greenest things we can do) in order that we can import it from halfway across the world. All of course done in the name of “Climate change” and the “Environment”. It's obvious nonsense which degrades the believers' argument.
(*A term that I just invented).
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Post by steppenwolf on Feb 12, 2024 11:04:52 GMT
There is evidence regarding CO2 and infrared light and the effect of CO2 and other gases which reflect infrared back down to Earth in a greenhouse effect. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_gasObviously. That's why I said "in the Earth's system". It was demonstrated by John Tyndall in about 1850 that CO2 causes warming - in box in a laboratory. But the Earth is a "system" - and about the most complex system known to man. And one of its features is that it has developed stabilisers ("buffers") that help to maintain some kind of stability - or we would have burned up millennia ago. So CO2 causes warming by the greenhouse effect. But it also causes cooling because it causes photosynthesis that cools the planet. Basic stuff. I'm just trying to get zany to address the fact that CO2 does NOT cause cooling in the Earth's system because its cooling effects balance out its warming effects. No one has ever proved that CO2 causes net warming on Earth - which in my opinion is absolutely fundamental. They've tried but the experiments have shown no warming
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Post by dappy on Feb 12, 2024 11:55:00 GMT
Once again it is worth mentioning the following points.
The overwhelming majority of scientists expert in the field tell us that man made emissions, if not controlled, will cause very severe damage to life on our planet. A very small number of scientists and some politicians disagree.
If humanity heeds the scientists warnings and they are wrong, we will collectively have incurred a relatively small impact on our living standards unnecessarily. If humanity ignores scientists warnings and they are right, the expected damage is catastrophic.
There is no guarantee that humanity collectively has the wisdom to actually take action together and there is no question that a small nation such as the UK can make a material difference on its own.
In essence then the question is 1) are we prepared to take a long odds high stakes low reward punt 2) if no is it all a little too hard anyway so WTF.
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Post by Dan Dare on Feb 12, 2024 12:18:57 GMT
*off-topic on*
Interesting that dappy should very forcefully counsel that we err on the side of caution in the case of AGW whereas he's happy to let 'er rip when it comes to opening up UK asylum reception centres on the continent.
*off-topic off*
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Post by Vinny on Feb 12, 2024 12:52:26 GMT
The biggest problem regarding buffers, is us humans keep cutting down the buffers (trees). If we'd plant more, particularly in the tropics, it would solve the problem.
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Post by Dan Dare on Feb 12, 2024 13:14:20 GMT
The dilemma is you can't grow soy-beans and cultivate rice as well as trees.
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Post by jonksy on Feb 12, 2024 13:19:16 GMT
The dilemma is you can't grow soy-beans and cultivate rice as well as trees. FFS........The real-life Day After Tomorrow: The Gulf Stream could COLLAPSE as early as 2025 - plunging Europe into a deep freeze, scientists warn Scientists say melting ice in the Northern Hemisphere is disrupting Gulf Stream
This could send Europe into a deep freeze best depicted by the Hollywood film...
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Post by wapentake on Feb 12, 2024 13:41:18 GMT
Right we’re all going to die because of global warming but as early as 2025 we might enter a new ice age
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Post by dappy on Feb 12, 2024 13:50:58 GMT
*off-topic on* Interesting that dappy should very forcefully counsel that we err on the side of caution in the case of AGW whereas he's happy to let 'er rip when it comes to opening up UK asylum reception centres on the continent. *off-topic off* We should be careful about mixing topics up Dan and resist personalising discussion also. But if we look at your underlying point, there is something to learn here. When making any decision, you should consider the evidence base of likely outcomes, the potential consequences of do nothing and do something and the reversibility of the policy if you get unexpected outcomes. So to illustrate, in the case of climate change there is an overwhelming consensus amongst experts that we have a man made problem, the experts tell us that in their opinion the consequences of doing nothing is extreme, the costs of doing something by comparison are small and we know that if we choose to do nothing now and the experts are proven right, it will probably be too late to do anything down the road so the decision to do nothing cannot be reversed later. In respect of a proposal to move the reporting base for those wishing to claim asylum in the UK from Dover to Calais in exchange for an agreement that those ultimately judged inadmissable would be returned (or remain) in France, the potential benefits are clear. In opposition you are argue that instead of around 50,000 asylum seekers arriving by boat, we would instead receive many hundreds of thousands. While that seems very unlikely, if it were to unexpectedly materialise the policy could simply be reversed and the reporting centre closed so the policy is easily reversible if necessary. Do you see the difference?
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Post by Dan Dare on Feb 12, 2024 14:06:23 GMT
What you're saying is that while the effects of AGW will be very difficult if not impossible to mitigate, the effects of making it much easier to claim asylum in the UK can be turned on and off like a tap?
That being the case, why hasn't the latter been tried already?
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