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Post by andrewbrown on May 24, 2024 22:22:38 GMT
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Post by johnofgwent on May 25, 2024 4:26:47 GMT
I think Gideon is having a little joke in response to his being left in the wilderness while the other half of his comedy act was rehabilitated, but I do admit it would be nice to see Sunak lose, and even better to see Hunt on the dole.
What proportion of his constituency are in my state pension demographic ? I hope it is large because as you know we pay no NI (although anyone employing us still has to) and so his last two 'tax cuts' do absolutely fuck all for us and his 'ambition to abolish NI' is actually a thinly veiled hope of screwing more tax out of us by letting our earnings from jobs we must continue to do because Brown stole the ACT relief and fucked out pension schemes of 20% of their growth get taxed as bands fail to move.
I think it beyond parody to suggest Liz Truss is at risk. She really is the only Tory in the house. Read her book. It's far more popular in public libraries than 'Spare'
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Post by Pacifico on May 25, 2024 6:40:22 GMT
Hunt is going to struggle - wont be missed though.
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Post by Cartertonian on May 25, 2024 9:22:00 GMT
I live in Sunak's constituency and it would be a miracle if he had a Portillo moment. He was polling over 63% of the vote at the last two elections and the only blip in that level of support since William Hague was our MP was his first election in 2015, when he 'only' gained 51.4% of the vote. You could put that down to him being the new guy, because Hague was polling in the 60s.
The Tory voters I know, mostly through the Royal British Legion, all tend to be traditional, One Nation, compassionate conservative types who dislike the ruthless, US-style economic libertarianism/social authoritarianism of the current front bench and the influencers behind it, but who would rather stick pins in their eyes than vote Labour.
The opposition in the constituency is pretty split, with Labour and Lib Dem sharing most of the rest of the vote. I will probably end up sticking with Lib Dem, unless there is evidence that a tactical vote for Labour might be in with a chance, however slim, of beating Sunak.
Of course, despite what he says, if nationally the Tories do lose to Labour as predicted, Sunak will probably be off to California, meaning we'll have to have a by-election pretty soon after the GE. There might be more scope there to use tactical voting to get the Tories out. We'll see.
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Post by witchfinder on May 25, 2024 10:02:28 GMT
I live in Sunak's constituency and it would be a miracle if he had a Portillo moment. He was polling over 63% of the vote at the last two elections and the only blip in that level of support since William Hague was our MP was his first election in 2015, when he 'only' gained 51.4% of the vote. You could put that down to him being the new guy, because Hague was polling in the 60s. The Tory voters I know, mostly through the Royal British Legion, all tend to be traditional, One Nation, compassionate conservative types who dislike the ruthless, US-style economic libertarianism/social authoritarianism of the current front bench and the influencers behind it, but who would rather stick pins in their eyes than vote Labour. The opposition in the constituency is pretty split, with Labour and Lib Dem sharing most of the rest of the vote. I will probably end up sticking with Lib Dem, unless there is evidence that a tactical vote for Labour might be in with a chance, however slim, of beating Sunak. Of course, despite what he says, if nationally the Tories do lose to Labour as predicted, Sunak will probably be off to California, meaning we'll have to have a by-election pretty soon after the GE. There might be more scope there to use tactical voting to get the Tories out. We'll see. I live not too far away from you, my constituency borders onto the newly named constituency of Northallerton & Richmond. Personaly I sense change in North Yorkshire, which for as long as anyone can remember has been a Tory stronhold, I was pleasantly suprised at the Mayoral Election Result with Labours David Skaith winning with a 16,000 majority. According to most pollsters and pundits, Harrogate will go Lib Dem, and Scarborough & Whitby will go Labour, and I have seen one article which predicts that the Tories will lose Skipton & Ripon, which would be astonishing, as would Rishi Sunak losing his seat. |
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