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Post by morayloon on Apr 29, 2024 21:49:57 GMT
So who will the SNP membership elect?
John Swinney seems to have the backing of many senior people in the party. We need a complete break from the past, and electing yet another "continuity" FM is not the way to go. The party has to get back to banging the Independence drum, looking for ways to deliver that goal for our country.
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Post by Vinny on Apr 30, 2024 9:19:27 GMT
The party has to get back in the wilderness, better still implode, same with Alba.
SNATs out.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 30, 2024 10:48:20 GMT
What's wrong with Kate Forbes?
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Post by happyjack on Apr 30, 2024 22:18:18 GMT
She supports Scottish independence. For someone who is supposed to be economically astute that alone blows her credibility out of the water.
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Post by happyjack on Apr 30, 2024 22:30:27 GMT
So who will the SNP membership elect? John Swinney seems to have the backing of many senior people in the party. We need a complete break from the past, and electing yet another "continuity" FM is not the way to go. The party has to get back to banging the Independence drum, looking for ways to deliver that goal for our country. All they have to do is convince 60% or more of the Scottish based voters at each Westminster and Holyrood election over a 10 year period to vote for unambiguously independence supporting parties and that should convince our parliament at Westminster to sanction another referendum. If that referendum then delivers a 60% vote for Indy then that goal will be delivered after which you can correctly start describing Scotland as a country for the first time in your life - but bear in mind that all of the gerrymandering that the SNP were allowed to get away with in 2014 will not be tolerated next time, and that the Scottish people across the UK will be given an opportunity to express their preference too, not just the people residing in Scotland.
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Post by morayloon on May 1, 2024 1:41:08 GMT
So who will the SNP membership elect? John Swinney seems to have the backing of many senior people in the party. We need a complete break from the past, and electing yet another "continuity" FM is not the way to go. The party has to get back to banging the Independence drum, looking for ways to deliver that goal for our country. All they have to do is convince 60% or more of the Scottish based voters at each Westminster and Holyrood election over a 10 year period to vote for unambiguously independence supporting parties and that should convince our parliament at Westminster to sanction another referendum. If that referendum then delivers a 60% vote for Indy then that goal will be delivered after which you can correctly start describing Scotland as a country for the first time in your life - but bear in mind that all of the gerrymandering that the SNP were allowed to get away with in 2014 will not be tolerated next time, and that the Scottish people across the UK will be given an opportunity to express their preference too, not just the people residing in Scotland. The 'neutral' guy appears again. Back to share his pearls of "wisdom". His "neutrality" has been shown, time and again, for what it is - a load of self delusion. Why 60%? Why 10 years? Why 60%? The country of Scotland will decide. Continual refusals to hold a referendum will merely encourage people to look for other methods. Which is what the SNP should have been doing instead of meekly accepting the naysaying of Westminster. What gerrymandering? Why would they be allowed to vote?. If they are allowed, will there be a concomitant refusal to allow people from south of the border to interfere in our future. As for the Scots outside Scotland, why do you assume they would vote No? And, why they won't be allowed to vote comes down to the simple reason that they made their decision to leave the country, thereby forfeiting any say in deciding the constitutional future of the country.
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Post by happyjack on May 1, 2024 8:24:49 GMT
Why ask “why 60%” twice? Do you think, just as with the Indy question, that if you keep asking people the same question you will eventually get the answer you want and only then accept what people have to say?
When it comes to Scottish Independence I am far from neutral and have never claimed to be neutral. I believe that it would be economically catastrophic for the Scottish people to go it alone, have never seen anything remotely close to credible to suggest otherwise despite years of asking Indy types to produce the evidence to support their hollow claims of a bounteous lifestyle for all, and therefore consider independence to be by far the clearest present political threat to my, and to the Scottish people’s, well-being. However, as I keep explaining, being neither a nationalist nor a unionist, I am ideologically neutral on the matter and am therefore open to new information -so if your or anybody else can credibly demonstrate that we would be better off as an independent nation then I would get right behind that idea. Why are you so incapable of grasping that simple point? Does the fact that someone who is strongly opposed to independence for a purely pragmatic reason that you can’t provide an answer to, and who is not a bigoted ideological zealot like yourself, just not compute with your extremist prejudices?
Scots living outside of Scotland were allowed to vote in 2014, but only those registered as being overseas. Unlike those residing abroad, and despite your determination to deny the constitutional realities, those Scots residing in the rest of the UK were still living in our country (just a different part than the Scottish part) but we’re denied a vote despite the fact that they would have been much more directly and severely impacted by a NO outcome than many of those overseas Scots because they would have found themselves living as aliens in the place where they were residing rather than as citizens. Where is the logic in that and why on earth shouldn’t they have their say on something of such high impact to them?
I assume that the majority of rUK Scots would vote NO because they would not wish to become foreigners in what is currently their own country, because they are enjoying the benefits of the union in a way that neither you nor I are by living elsewhere in the country as UK citizens, and because the SNP ScotGov did not want them to vote in 2014 (which is a slam dunk reason for believing that they would have voted heavily in favour of remaining part of the UK in my view).
There won’t be another referendum without the approval of parliament and there won’t be parliamentary approval unless and until there is clear and sustained evidence that independence is probably the clear and sustained preference of the people resident in Scotland at least.That’s why 60% and that’s why 10 years. Similarly, but more importantly, there will be a requirement for a super-majority in favour of independence in any such referendum too because the result has to have losers consent if it is to be settled once and for all. I am not sure if 60% would be enough to achieve that but, as we have seen from the 2014 referendum, 55.4% was not enough to achieve that so it has to be more than that to have any chance of settling the matter. Possibly a 2/3ds share of vote might make better sense
There are not continual refusals to hold a referendum. We have already had one recently so clearly that is not the case. There is simply not strong enough nor sustained enough support to warrant another referendum at this stage in the eyes of the majority at Westminster, and another referendum will only happen if and when the majority at Westminster back it, just as they did in 2014. And, next time around, the UK government will take things much more seriously and prevent all of the SNP gerrymandering moves of 2014 - so, whether you like it or not , that will mean a super majority, adult only voting, a different and more neutral question and answer option on the ballot paper, and Scots from rUK being actively encouraged to vote.
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Post by Vinny on May 1, 2024 9:19:06 GMT
Morayloon, you lost, get over it. Have a nice ride out on your motorbike and enjoy the beautiful British scenery.
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Post by morayloon on May 1, 2024 13:52:13 GMT
Why ask “why 60%” twice. Do you think, just as with the Indy question, that if you keep asking people the same question you will eventually get the answer you want and only then accept what people have to say? When it comes to Scottish Independence I am far from neutral and have never claimed to be. I believe that it would be economically catastrophic for the Scottish people to go it alone, have never seen anything remotely close to credible to suggest otherwise despite years of asking Indy types to produce the evidence to support their hollow claims, and therefore consider independence to be by far the clearest present political threat to my, and to the Scottish people’s, well-being. However, as I keep explaining, being neither a nationalist nor a unionist, I am ideologically neutral on the matter and am therefore open to information -so if you or anybody else can credibly demonstrate that we would be better off as an independent nation then I would get right behind that idea. Why are you so incapable of grasping that simple point? Does the fact that someone who is strongly opposed to independence is not a bigoted ideological zealot like yourself just not compute with your extremist prejudices? Scots living outside of Scotland were allowed to vote in 2014, but only those registered as being overseas. Unlike those residing abroad, and despite your determination to ignore the constitutional realities, those Scots residing in the rest of the UK were still living in our country (just a different part than the Scottish part) but we’re denied a vote despite the fact that they would have been much more directly and severely impacted by a NO outcome as they would suddenly have found themselves living as aliens in the place where they were residing rather than as citizens. Where is the logic in that and why on earth shouldn’t they have their say on something of such high impact to them? And I assume that the majority of rUK Scots would vote NO because they would not wish to become foreigners in what is currently their own country, because they are enjoying the benefits of the union in a way that neither you nor I are by living elsewhere in the country as citizens, and because the SNP ScotGov did not want them to vote in 2014. There won’t be another referendum without the approval of parliament and there won’t be parliamentary approval unless and until there is clear and sustained evidence that independence is probably the clear and sustained preference of the people resident in Scotland at least.That’s why 60% and that’s why 10 years. Similarly, but more importantly, there will be a requirement for a super-majority in favour of independence in any such referendum too because the result has to have losers consent if it is to be settled once and for all. I am not sure if 60% would be enough to achieve that but, as we have seen from the 2014 referendum, 55.4% was not enough to achieve that so it has to be more than that to have any chance of settling the matter. Possibly a 2/3ds share of vote might make better sense There are not continual refusals to hold a referendum. We have already had one so clearly that is not the case. There is simply not strong enough nor sustained enough support to warrant another one at this stage in the eyes of the majority at Westminster, and another referendum will only happen if and when the majority at Westminster back it, just as they did in 2014. And, next time around, the UK government will take things much more seriously and prevent all of the SNP gerrymandering moves of 2014 - so, whether you like it or not , that will mean a super majority, adult only voting, a different and more neutral question and answer option on the ballot paper, and Scots from rUK being actively encouraged to vote. We reserve the right to campaign for an Independent Scotland. Why shouldn't we continue? When we win, the victory will be done through the democratic process, not by chicanery and gerrymandering as you are suggesting should happen. When you joined the former forum, you came on proclaiming that you could be persuaded, the mark of a neutral. Your every post from then on showed you up for what you are: a raving ultra unionist. Approximately 50% of Scots believe in Independence, a figure which you ignore. That means only 50% are happy with the present constitutional arrangement. Only people on the electoral roll, were able to vote. You might say 60% and 10 years but that is not how democracy works. We, in Scotland, remember the actions of the 1979 referendum when we were robbed because of the ridiculous 40% rule In any case, almost 10 years have passed. Tens of thousands of young voters would now be able to vote. This is a fact that you cannot stand. Hence the undemocratic, artificial suggestions you proffer Bigoted? Extreme prejudices? Where do you get that from? Examples please! The only extremist I see is you! You're the one spouting anti-democratic nonsense. People had to be on the electoral roll to be able to vote. That includes people born in England/Wales/NI and also foreign nationals. The people who live in the country are best able to decide the country's future. Those who left, lost their right to have a say. I have to say that the franchise arrangements were approved by the Electoral Commission, it also agreed that the question asked was reasonable and fair. Scot Gov conducted a well run and inclusive Referendum. Compare that to Brexit when EU nationals were not allowed to vote simply because they could have swung the vote the Remain way. Many countries allow dual citizenship. Are you saying that the rUK government would prevent such an option to its citizens? What planet are you on? There have been numerous denials of Scottish democracy. On numerous occasions May, Johnson & Sunak have denied Scotland the right to find out what the electorate want. You obviously are not a democrat!
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Post by happyjack on May 1, 2024 14:17:29 GMT
You are clearly incapable of reading, processing and understanding simple English. I said from day 1 that I had no objection to Indy other than I was unconvinced by the economic case but would be won over to Indy if someone could credibly demonstrate that we would all be better off if we opted for independence. That’s exactly the same position that I have repeatedly made on here and on the old forum and it is exactly the same position that I outline above. What is it about this very simple point that you refuse to grasp?
You can describe what I suggested as whatever you like but it will be the UK government who decide if and when there is another referendum - just as it will be the UK government who will have the final say on the terms and details of that referendum. The things that I describe are what I believe the UK government will insist on if there is ever to be another referendum, not necessarily what I believe should happen, although I see merit in all of them. I repeat that any future referendum will be run in accordance with the UK government’s preferences, and quite possibly under the UK government’s control. It is as simple as that whether you like it or not.
You were unable to define Scottish democracy when I last pushed you on it so I still don’t know what you mean by that term and therefore can’t form an opinion on whether there is any merit in what you say or not. However, I don’t see where I, as a Scot, have any less access to democracy than a fellow citizen in any other part of the UK so what are you whingeing about when you talk about Scottish democracy? And,of course,those you list and others have given us plenty of opportunities to find out what the people in Scotland want. That happens every time we have an election for our parliaments at Westminster and at Holyrood so cease with the fake grievances please.
As for your “ you are obviously not a democrat” jibe, coming from someone who has failed to respect the outcome of the 2014 referendum, who is content to see the once in a generation rhetoric of the Yes movement cast aside, who refuses to accept the democratic outcome of the Brexit referendum, and who refuses to accept that the will of his fellow citizens, as expressed at general elections, should apply to him, then I will treat that and you with the contempt that it and you deserve.
And you must be joking when you ask for evidence of your bigotry and extremism. I have provided that on a number of occasions on here and on the old forum, the most recent being a week or two ago when I laid bare your anti-English bigotry. The fact that you are too bigoted to accept that you are bigoted doesn’t mean that you have not had all the evidence you need and more on the matter.
The remainder of what you say is just your usual irrelevant whingeing and bluster so I will leave it there.
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Post by morayloon on May 1, 2024 15:36:30 GMT
You are clearly incapable of reading, processing and understanding simple English. I said from day 1 that I had no objection to Indy other than I was unconvinced by the economic case but would be won over to Indy if someone could credibly demonstrate that we would all be better off if we opted for independence. That’s exactly the same position that I have repeatedly made on here and on the old forum and it is exactly the same position that I outline above. What is it about this very simple point that you refuse to grasp? You can describe what I suggested as whatever you like but it will be the UK government who decide if and when there is another referendum - just as it will be the UK government who will have the final say on the terms and details of that referendum. The things that I describe are what I believe the UK government will insist on if there is ever to be another referendum, not necessarily what I believe should happen, although I see merit in all of them. I repeat that any future referendum will be run in accordance with the UK government’s preferences, and quite possibly under the UK government’s control. It is as simple as that whether you like it or not. You were unable to define Scottish democracy when I last pushed you on it so I still don’t know what you mean by that term and therefore can’t form an opinion on whether there is any merit in what you say or not. However, I don’t see where I, as a Scot, have any less access to democracy than a fellow citizen in any other part of the UK so what are you whingeing about when you talk about Scottish democracy? And,of course,those you list and others have given us plenty of opportunities to find out what the people in Scotland want. That happens every time we have an election for our parliaments at Westminster and at Holyrood so cease with the fake grievances please. As for your “ you are obviously not a democrat” jibe, coming from someone who has failed to respect the outcome of the 2014 referendum, who is content to see the once in a generation rhetoric of the Yes movement cast aside, who refuses to accept the democratic outcome of the Brexit referendum, and who refuses to accept that the will of his fellow citizens, as expressed at general elections, should apply to him, then I will treat that and you with the contempt that it and you deserve. And you must be joking when you ask for evidence of your bigotry and extremism. I have provided that on a number of occasions on here and on the old forum, the most recent being a week or two ago when I laid bare your anti-English bigotry. The fact that you are too bigoted to accept that you are bigoted doesn’t mean that you have not had all the evidence you need and more on the matter. The remainder of what you say is just your usual irrelevant whingeing and bluster so I will leave it there. You are obviously so embarrassed about your original thoughts. Not only that, your recent responses show a complete lack of reality. What makes you think the UK will decide anything? Can you tell me what was wrong with the running of Indy Ref? The Electoral Commission was happy, the UK Government was happy. But you, you would have insisted on undemocratic hurdles placed in the way of the movement.to try and stop the surge of Nationalism. As it turned out, the nay sayers won anyway, but it was close. Now, because the population demographic tends to swing our way, you think it ok to act undemocratically. Why ask about Scottish democracy? Why not ask about UK democracy? You know, democracy, the concept you want trampled on to suit your own ends! What fake grievances? You know, you make these accusations without evidence to back your fevered imagination. Once In A Generation remark was made by one man, not the YES movement. No one in the YES movement accepted any such premise. It is now coming up to 10 years since the Referendum. Plenty has changed in the intervening years. Enough to warrant a fresh plebiscite. If NI can have one every 7 years why not Scotland? And as for your argument that the Government would decide whether or not to hold a unity referendum, the only reason for the need for one would be a rise in the Catholic, Republican population, which, I believe, is already in the majority. Given this, the Government would have to weigh up a refusal against a dissatisfied large section of the made up region. And we all know where dissatisfaction led us before.
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Post by happyjack on May 1, 2024 15:59:09 GMT
In what way has anything I said conveyed embarrassment at my original thoughts? For the record, those thoughts remain my thoughts.
I have told you many times what was wrong with the Indy ref and I have touched on some of them in my posts above so engage your brain and work it out.
The UK won’t decide anything - but the UK parliament will pretty much do so because it is sovereign and there will be no referendum without its approval. That, as the recent Supreme Court decision confirmed, is abundantly clear.
The only reason that I ask your about Scottish democracy is because you repeatedly bleat on about it so I thought it reasonable to try to understand what you are going on about. However, you clearly don’t really know yourself but just use that term to cover anything and everything that you feel aggrieved about, whether justified or not.
Once in a generation or Once in a a lifetime or One Opportunity were widely used before and during the referendum campaign by members of the Yes Movement - including in the final few days where you could hardly open your eyes without seeing a poster or placard saying “One Opportunity”. These phrases are all variations of the same sentiment and the same rhetoric.
Scotland can have a referendum every 7 years - or every 7 weeks if it is deemed appropriate to do so. Why do you insist on peddling the false grievance that NI is advantaged in this respect compared with us while it is self-evidently the opposite?
plenty might have changed over the last 10 years but the only thing that matters here I.e. the preferences of the Scottish people, have hardly budged, if at all, despite the conditions being so ripe for separatists to capitalise on anti-UK sentiment. If the dial didn’t move over the Johnson, Truss, Brexit and financial mayhem years then what on earth do you think it is going to take to get it to shift up to a level where UK government will sit up and take notice?
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Post by Ripley on May 1, 2024 16:20:14 GMT
You are clearly... so I will leave it there. You are obviously so embarrassed about your original thoughts. Not only that, your recent responses show a complete lack of reality. What makes you think the UK will decide anything? Can you tell me what was wrong with the running of Indy Ref? The Electoral Commission was happy, the UK Government was happy. But you, you would have insisted on undemocratic hurdles placed in the way of the movement.to try and stop the surge of Nationalism. As it turned out, the nay sayers won anyway, but it was close. Now, because the population demographic tends to swing our way, you think it ok to act undemocratically. Why ask about Scottish democracy? Why not ask about UK democracy? You know, democracy, the concept you want trampled on to suit your own ends! What fake grievances? You know, you make these accusations without evidence to back your fevered imagination. Once In A Generation remark was made by one man, not the YES movement. No one in the YES movement accepted any such premise. It is now coming up to 10 years since the Referendum. Plenty has changed in the intervening years. Enough to warrant a fresh plebiscite. If NI can have one every 7 years why not Scotland?And as for your argument that the Government would decide whether or not to hold a unity referendum, the only reason for the need for one would be a rise in the Catholic, Republican population, which, I believe, is already in the majority. Given this, the Government would have to weigh up a refusal against a dissatisfied large section of the made up region. And we all know where dissatisfaction led us before. They love to trot out that 'once in a generation' remark to justify denying Scotland another referendum. " ...how long is a political generation? This becomes a bit like speculating on the length of a piece of string. Scotland Office minister Douglas Ross took the scattergun approach of saying it should be "30, 40, or 50 years" in an interview with the BBC's Good Morning Scotland programme on Wednesday. His boss Alister Jack, the Scottish secretary, had earlier suggested a vote shouldn't take place during Ms Sturgeon's lifetime - which based on the average life expectancy for women of her age would be at least another couple of decades yet." www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-51120175"Boris Johnson has reiterated his position that a Scottish independence referendum should be a "once-in-a-generation" vote. Speaking on the BBC's Andrew Marr programme, the prime minister said the gap between referendums on Europe - the first in 1975 and the second in 2016 - was "a good sort of gap"." www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-55521732
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Post by Pacifico on May 1, 2024 17:41:46 GMT
What happened to the SNP's 'de-facto' referendum?
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Post by happyjack on May 1, 2024 21:10:49 GMT
They love to trot out that 'once in a generation' remark to justify denying Scotland another referendum. " ...how long is a political generation? This becomes a bit like speculating on the length of a piece of string. Scotland Office minister Douglas Ross took the scattergun approach of saying it should be "30, 40, or 50 years" in an interview with the BBC's Good Morning Scotland programme on Wednesday. His boss Alister Jack, the Scottish secretary, had earlier suggested a vote shouldn't take place during Ms Sturgeon's lifetime - which based on the average life expectancy for women of her age would be at least another couple of decades yet." www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-51120175"Boris Johnson has reiterated his position that a Scottish independence referendum should be a "once-in-a-generation" vote. Speaking on the BBC's Andrew Marr programme, the prime minister said the gap between referendums on Europe - the first in 1975 and the second in 2016 - was "a good sort of gap"." www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-55521732I am not quite sure who the “they” are that you refer to at the top of your post but there is no need for anyone to trot out that “once in a generation” remark (as you rather disparagingly put it) because there has not been anywhere close to the strong and sustained level of demand for independence since 2014 necessary to warrant another referendum. As for the “ once in a generation” remark,I am going to presume that you were not here during the referendum campaign and have not been sufficiently interested to do much research into what went on then, so you have just bought into the Indy line that this was just a throwaway remark made by Mr Salmond to Andrew Marr in the run up to referendum day. That is so far from the truth of the matter as to make those who peddle that line appear embarrassingly ill-informed at best, and much closer to outright liars, in my opinion. First of all, the “once in a Generation” line was one of 3 pieces of rhetoric of similar sentiment utilised during the referendum campaign by the YES movement. The others were “ Once in a Lifetime” and “One Opportunity”. Once in a Generation actually first featured quite some time before the referendum campaign proper I.e. when it appeared in a number of places in the 2013 White Paper, including, most strikingly, in the then FM’s preface. It was then employed, along with the Once in a Lifetime alternative, throughout the referendum campaign itself by those pushing the case for a YES vote. There is (or was) a clip available online that captured Nicola Sturgeon using one or other of these phrases on the stumps on numerous occasions that helps illustrate this. Then there was the “One Opportunity” version of the message. This featured very heavily in the final week or so of the campaign, with a seemingly endless supply of “One Opportunity “ banners, placards and other paraphernalia hitting our streets and, through the media coverage of the campaigners, through our tv and newspapers and, almost certainly, through the online campaigning of the Yes movement back then too. If you do a little bit of a search you should quickly find plenty of pics of Mr Salmond and/or Ms Sturgeon, amongst other senior Yes supporting figures, posing with or alongside overpowering One Opportunity messages. So not only was “Once in a Generation” and its variants a strong and recurring message throughout the referendum campaign, but out of the 3 variants, the “Once in a Generation” was the least onerous in terms of the timeframe that the YES campaign, including the then FM and deputy FM, were pushing at us. So forget trying to nit-pick over what a generation might be and think about what the 3 variants as a whole amounted to instead, and that is that there would be no second chance for decades at least, if ever. One Opportunity, in this particular context at least, means never again, after all. BTW - it was only the YES campaign that spoke and messaged in such a manner. The NO campaign said nothing to suggest that there would ever be another referendum, mirroring instead the UK Gov’s position by saying that the issue would be settled and the result implemented in accordance with the referendum decision, whatever that turned out to be. So, as things stand, the NO side has adhered to its rhetoric whilst the YES side has failed to respect the people’s decision and failed to honour its own rhetoric, yet it is the side that has acted honourably by keeping its word that you and many other Indy types choose to criticise. How bizarre!
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