Have you a link to all these fictional lives lost lefy old bean?
Study shows that lockdown across Europe
Worked including UK.
Published: 12 June 2020
A study supported by the NIHR Imperial Biomedical Research Centre and the NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Modelling Methodology estimates national lockdowns have saved more than three million lives in Europe.
From 2-29 March 2020, European countries began implementing unprecedented interventions such as social distancing, school closures and national lockdowns to control COVID-19. Understanding the effectiveness of these measures is important because these strategies may be needed to keep COVID-19 transmission under control.
The study assessed the impact of restrictions in 11 European countries - Austria, Belgium, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Norway, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the UK - up to the beginning of May.
The team estimated that by 4 May 2020, between 12 and 15 million individuals in these countries had been infected with COVID-19 (3.2% to 4% of the population, with large country-to-country fluctuations).
They then compared the number of observed deaths against those predicted by their model if there had been no lockdown measures. This analysis estimated 3.2 million people would have died if not for measures such as telling people to stay at home
Study across the World
Zealand and Australia, two countries that imposed several lockdowns and heavy restrictions, experienced no excess mortality during 2020. Similarly, South Korea, Taiwan and Thailand had either no excess mortality or only very modest increases in mortality during lockdown periods when there were few or no COVID-19 cases. Indeed, there are no locations in the dataset that experienced both excess mortality and lockdowns concurrently with low numbers of COVID-19 cases, which is what we would expect if lockdowns were independently causing large numbers of short-term deaths. Conversely, places with few COVID-19 restrictions such as Brazil, Sweden, Russia or at times certain parts of the USA have had large numbers of excess deaths throughout the pandemic.
This pattern indicates that, while there may be multifaceted impacts of intensive government restrictions, including social and economic costs, these are not apparent in short-term increases in mortality. In fact, the World Mortality Dataset appears to show that countries with concerted COVID-19 restrictions have had fewer deaths than in previous years, with the authors estimating that lockdowns may reduce annual mortality by 3–6% from eliminating influenza transmission alone.5 This finding is supported by data from Peru showing that lockdowns are likely to reduce death risks from common sources such as automobile accidents in the short term, resulting in a reduction in the immediate mortality burden when implemented.6
The high excess mortality in countries with few restrictions, or less voluntary behaviour change, may not be surprising given the high infectiousness and fatality rate of COVID-19.7–9 For example, in Manaus, Brazil, COVID-19 spread was largely unmitigated and as of 15 March 2021 more than 10% of the entire population aged over 85 years had died of COVID-19.10 Similarly, the USA did not impose highly restrictive sets of non-pharmaceutical interventions to contain the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in autumn and winter 2020, and COVID-19 became the leading cause of death in the USA for several months in late 2020 and early 2021. While different places require different measures to stop exponential spread, data from Brazil, the USA and other countries11 12 show that moderate containment measures can be insufficient to stop exponential growth of COVID-19 epidemics, in turn leading to
Research in UK.
More than 20,000 lives could have been saved in England if the first lockdown had been introduced a week earlier, according to a report from Imperial College London.
Researchers estimate the number of deaths in the first wave could have been reduced from an estimated 48,600 to 25,600 if the first national shutdown, introduced on 23 March 2020, was brought in seven days before.
This means 23,000 lives would have been saved, according to the report.
COVID inquiry Health Secretary statement.
Earlier lockdown could have saved lives of 30,000, Hancock tells Covid inquiry. Tens of thousands of lives could have been saved if the UK had locked down three weeks earlier, Matt Hancock has told the Covid inquiry, as he described the operation of Boris Johnson's Downing Street as undermined by a “culture of fear”.30 Nov 2023
www.theguardian.com › nov
Earlier lockdown could have saved lives of 30000, Hancock tells ...
