|
Post by zanygame on Oct 28, 2023 11:18:50 GMT
I think you'll find Orac claims rights to the mind zone. I don't have any problem with disagreement. I have a problem with pointless posts like yours. They say nothing, add nothing. I have no idea why you're here on a thread about AGW adding nothing to the subject. Lets see; your contribution is So you still have no point to make. Other than you agree with the agenda because well, you just do.
Meanwhile other people, who actually know something of the science, question what they're being told.
And sensibly so.
Nope can't see anything about the AGW there, just more petty insults. If you have any knowledge on the subject talk about it not me. The problem is you follow those who have knowledge but ignore others who also have knowledge. The point about science is to keep questioning even when something is held to be true and if that truth is found wanting then consider again what is truth. There is a blind certainty of being right in your posts that echoes the positioning of ones fingers into one's ears and screaming not listening. This makes you a dangerous individual in the grand scheme of things and a boon to those who would control us. I know this is the Mind Zone and I am not insulting I am just observing a rather worrying situation. I did Sandy. I read all your links and looked at all your claims long ago. I decided they were not true, that they misrepresented facts. Now each time you replay the same claims you are right I do not give them credit. You do not address my questions, you just accuse me of having a closed mind. What is your claim that 75% of the planets land mass has been repurposed? How much Co2 absorbing vegetation area has disappeared between 1800 and now. Put some meat on your claims As I have said before. The vast majority of the scientific world agree that AGW is real and significant. Governments agree. And the reason I should take you at face value is because for some unknown reason all those scientists are lying. Show me what else is warming the planet, why are the ice sheets melting in the middle of a solar maunder. The onus is on you to convince, not on me to disprove.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 28, 2023 11:22:44 GMT
I think you'll find Orac claims rights to the mind zone. I don't have any problem with disagreement. I have a problem with pointless posts like yours. They say nothing, add nothing. I have no idea why you're here on a thread about AGW adding nothing to the subject. Lets see; your contribution is So you still have no point to make. Other than you agree with the agenda because well, you just do.
Meanwhile other people, who actually know something of the science, question what they're being told.
And sensibly so.
Nope can't see anything about the AGW there, just more petty insults. If you have any knowledge on the subject talk about it not me. The problem is you follow those who have knowledge but ignore others who also have knowledge. The point about science is to keep questioning even when something is held to be true and if that truth is found wanting then consider again what is truth. There is a blind certainty of being right in your posts that echoes the positioning of ones fingers into one's ears and screaming not listening. This makes you a dangerous individual in the grand scheme of things and a boon to those who would control us. I know this is the Mind Zone and I am not insulting I am just observing a rather worrying situation. It wouldn't be so bad if they had any scientific background. It's all political and virtue point seeking.
|
|
|
Post by sandypine on Oct 28, 2023 11:37:08 GMT
The problem is you follow those who have knowledge but ignore others who also have knowledge. The point about science is to keep questioning even when something is held to be true and if that truth is found wanting then consider again what is truth. There is a blind certainty of being right in your posts that echoes the positioning of ones fingers into one's ears and screaming not listening. This makes you a dangerous individual in the grand scheme of things and a boon to those who would control us. I know this is the Mind Zone and I am not insulting I am just observing a rather worrying situation. I did Sandy. I read all your links and looked at all your claims long ago. I decided they were not true, that they misrepresented facts. Now each time you replay the same claims you are right I do not give them credit. You do not address my questions, you just accuse me of having a closed mind. What is your claim that 75% of the planets land mass has been repurposed? How much Co2 absorbing vegetation area has disappeared between 1800 and now. Put some meat on your claims As I have said before. The vast majority of the scientific world agree that AGW is real and significant. Governments agree. And the reason I should take you at face value is because for some unknown reason all those scientists are lying. Show me what else is warming the planet, why are the ice sheets melting in the middle of a solar maunder. The onus is on you to convince, not on me to disprove. Did you read the article in this OP? They use the official data on climate readings and note the disparity with what they find with what others find. The numbers are out there and it is obvious that the conclusions reached by 'the consensus' have serious questions to answer. It is the political figures who are guiding the answers to a warming scenario and I do not know what it is and neither does anyone else. This is not a Sherlock Holmes problem where all else has been rejected and only the improbable remains it is supposed to be scientific investigation and too often straightforward lies are put into the public domain such as; storms are becoming worse, no evidence of that as agreed by the IPCC; sea levels are rising at an accelerating rate, not proven and there have been accelerating and decelerating periods over the last 150 years; the arctic sea ice will be gone in a few years; it didn't and now seems to be stabilising and recovering; we are now in a period of runaway temperatures, not so as the only evidence is a much corrected model. All the little lies and misdirections all play a part as well. I do not need to show what is warming the planet other than natural cycles you have to show that CO2 is the guilty party and so far that is not proven by any scientific method, it is assumed as a cause and effect and that assumption is found wanting.
|
|
|
Post by zanygame on Oct 28, 2023 12:17:14 GMT
I did Sandy. I read all your links and looked at all your claims long ago. I decided they were not true, that they misrepresented facts. Now each time you replay the same claims you are right I do not give them credit. You do not address my questions, you just accuse me of having a closed mind. What is your claim that 75% of the planets land mass has been repurposed? How much Co2 absorbing vegetation area has disappeared between 1800 and now. Put some meat on your claims As I have said before. The vast majority of the scientific world agree that AGW is real and significant. Governments agree. And the reason I should take you at face value is because for some unknown reason all those scientists are lying. Show me what else is warming the planet, why are the ice sheets melting in the middle of a solar maunder. The onus is on you to convince, not on me to disprove. Did you read the article in this OP? They use the official data on climate readings and note the disparity with what they find with what others find. The numbers are out there and it is obvious that the conclusions reached by 'the consensus' have serious questions to answer. It is the political figures who are guiding the answers to a warming scenario and I do not know what it is and neither does anyone else. This is not a Sherlock Holmes problem where all else has been rejected and only the improbable remains it is supposed to be scientific investigation and too often straightforward lies are put into the public domain such as; storms are becoming worse, no evidence of that as agreed by the IPCC; sea levels are rising at an accelerating rate, not proven and there have been accelerating and decelerating periods over the last 150 years; the arctic sea ice will be gone in a few years; it didn't and now seems to be stabilising and recovering; we are now in a period of runaway temperatures, not so as the only evidence is a much corrected model. All the little lies and misdirections all play a part as well. I do not need to show what is warming the planet other than natural cycles you have to show that CO2 is the guilty party and so far that is not proven by any scientific method, it is assumed as a cause and effect and that assumption is found wanting. I started to read it, but it was just another re-hash. Maybe some Sherlock Holmes style evidence based rebuttal would be better than just repeating they haven't proved it beyond all doubt. And what gives you away is claims like "the arctic sea ice will be gone in a few years; it didn't and now seems to be stabilising and recovering;" Take an extreme view "Will be gone" add "now seems to be stabilising and recovering;" Miss out the bit about how much it has shrunk by and how much smaller the stabilised size is. That's why your articles fail to persuade, they cherry pick info hinting at evidence without providing any.
|
|
|
Post by Dan Dare on Oct 28, 2023 12:54:47 GMT
The important thing to remember is that we don't have a practice planet on which to conduct these experiments.
|
|
|
Post by sandypine on Oct 28, 2023 13:12:02 GMT
Did you read the article in this OP? They use the official data on climate readings and note the disparity with what they find with what others find. The numbers are out there and it is obvious that the conclusions reached by 'the consensus' have serious questions to answer. It is the political figures who are guiding the answers to a warming scenario and I do not know what it is and neither does anyone else. This is not a Sherlock Holmes problem where all else has been rejected and only the improbable remains it is supposed to be scientific investigation and too often straightforward lies are put into the public domain such as; storms are becoming worse, no evidence of that as agreed by the IPCC; sea levels are rising at an accelerating rate, not proven and there have been accelerating and decelerating periods over the last 150 years; the arctic sea ice will be gone in a few years; it didn't and now seems to be stabilising and recovering; we are now in a period of runaway temperatures, not so as the only evidence is a much corrected model. All the little lies and misdirections all play a part as well. I do not need to show what is warming the planet other than natural cycles you have to show that CO2 is the guilty party and so far that is not proven by any scientific method, it is assumed as a cause and effect and that assumption is found wanting. I started to read it, but it was just another re-hash. Maybe some Sherlock Holmes style evidence based rebuttal would be better than just repeating they haven't proved it beyond all doubt. And what gives you away is claims like "the arctic sea ice will be gone in a few years; it didn't and now seems to be stabilising and recovering;" Take an extreme view "Will be gone" add "now seems to be stabilising and recovering;" Miss out the bit about how much it has shrunk by and how much smaller the stabilised size is. That's why your articles fail to persuade, they cherry pick info hinting at evidence without providing any. Then you should have read it as it deals with teh values as presented for our info, much twiddled and manipulated as they have been, but those are the values to work on Worth a read and a look at teh graph which I hope comes up A second important new paper is from Antonis Christofides and co-authors dated September 26, 2023. They introduce their paper with a long post of that date at Climate, Etc. titled “Causality and Climate.” The part of the full technical paper relating to the climate science application can be found at this link. If you go to that last link and try to read through it, you will find technical math that will quickly have your head swimming, even if you are a quasi math geek like myself. However, their fundamental point as to causality in climate science is not very complicated: if you plot recent temperature increases against increases in CO2 in the atmosphere, it’s the temperature increases that come first, and the CO2 increases follow. Thus, if there is causality, it must be that the temperature increase is causing the CO2 increase, rather than the other way around. Here is the key chart from the post at Climate, Etc.. The authors present it as a quiz: look at the chart, and the explanations, and without any further mathematical analysis, draw a conclusion as to the direction of causation: From the technical paper: [T]he surprising finding [is] that, while in general the causal relationship of atmospheric T and CO2 concentration, as obtained by proxy data, appears to be of hen-or- egg type with principal direction 𝑇 → [CO2], in the recent decades the more accurate modern data support a conclusion that this principal direction has become exclusive. In other words, it is the increase of temperature that caused increased CO2 concentration. Though this conclusion may sound counterintuitive at first glance, because it contradicts common perception (and for this reason we have assessed the case with an alternative parametric methodology in the Supplementary Information, section SI2.4, with results confirming those presented here), in fact it is reasonable. The temperature increase began at the end of the Little Ice Period, in the early 19th century, when human CO2 emissions were negligible; hence other factors, such as the solar activity (measured by sunspot numbers), as well as internal long-range mechanisms of the complex climatic systems had to play their roles. Bugger did not work go to the link to check the graph, sorry mys skill set in this is limited.
|
|
|
Post by sandypine on Oct 28, 2023 14:03:48 GMT
The important thing to remember is that we don't have a practice planet on which to conduct these experiments. OK what do you suggest? Who should hold sway over the direction of travel?
|
|
|
Post by Dan Dare on Oct 28, 2023 14:12:35 GMT
I don't see it as an 'us vs them' struggle as it usually depicted here.
I would tend to listen closest to those who have the best interest of the planet at heart rather than those who pursue narrow economic or political interests.
However I don't know enough about the subject in sufficient detail to nominate actual leaders. My suggestion would be to leave it to those who do.
|
|
|
Post by zanygame on Oct 28, 2023 14:20:50 GMT
I started to read it, but it was just another re-hash. Maybe some Sherlock Holmes style evidence based rebuttal would be better than just repeating they haven't proved it beyond all doubt. And what gives you away is claims like "the arctic sea ice will be gone in a few years; it didn't and now seems to be stabilising and recovering;" Take an extreme view "Will be gone" add "now seems to be stabilising and recovering;" Miss out the bit about how much it has shrunk by and how much smaller the stabilised size is. That's why your articles fail to persuade, they cherry pick info hinting at evidence without providing any. Then you should have read it as it deals with teh values as presented for our info, much twiddled and manipulated as they have been, but those are the values to work on Worth a read and a look at teh graph which I hope comes up A second important new paper is from Antonis Christofides and co-authors dated September 26, 2023. They introduce their paper with a long post of that date at Climate, Etc. titled “Causality and Climate.” The part of the full technical paper relating to the climate science application can be found at this link. If you go to that last link and try to read through it, you will find technical math that will quickly have your head swimming, even if you are a quasi math geek like myself. However, their fundamental point as to causality in climate science is not very complicated: if you plot recent temperature increases against increases in CO2 in the atmosphere, it’s the temperature increases that come first, and the CO2 increases follow. Thus, if there is causality, it must be that the temperature increase is causing the CO2 increase, rather than the other way around. Here is the key chart from the post at Climate, Etc.. The authors present it as a quiz: look at the chart, and the explanations, and without any further mathematical analysis, draw a conclusion as to the direction of causation: From the technical paper: [T]he surprising finding [is] that, while in general the causal relationship of atmospheric T and CO2 concentration, as obtained by proxy data, appears to be of hen-or- egg type with principal direction 𝑇 → [CO2], in the recent decades the more accurate modern data support a conclusion that this principal direction has become exclusive. In other words, it is the increase of temperature that caused increased CO2 concentration. Though this conclusion may sound counterintuitive at first glance, because it contradicts common perception (and for this reason we have assessed the case with an alternative parametric methodology in the Supplementary Information, section SI2.4, with results confirming those presented here), in fact it is reasonable. The temperature increase began at the end of the Little Ice Period, in the early 19th century, when human CO2 emissions were negligible; hence other factors, such as the solar activity (measured by sunspot numbers), as well as internal long-range mechanisms of the complex climatic systems had to play their roles. Bugger did not work go to the link to check the graph, sorry my skill set in this is limited. I've seen this claim before anyway. But it in no way explains the much faster increases in temperature in the last 5 decades. There is no excess solar activity, no earth tilt/ orbit to explain away the current rises. There is reasonable historical evidence that increased temperature releases Co2 from the soil which in turn increases temperature. But your chicken an egg only works if you can explain the cause of the sudden very recent heating in the first place. This is where your ah but they measured it all in the wrong places theory steps in . Because a blogger found a gauge that's now in the sun where it used to be in the shade. Have any of your assets ever offered a source for the 5,000,000,000,000,000 Joules of energy needed to heat the earth by 1 degree. We know its not the sun, so where do they say its coming from.
|
|
|
Post by sandypine on Oct 28, 2023 14:25:15 GMT
I don't see it as an 'us vs them' struggle as it usually depicted here. I would tend to listen closest to those who have the best interest of the planet at heart rather than those who pursue narrow economic or political interests. However I don't know enough about the subject in sufficient detail to nominate actual leaders. My suggestion would be to leave it to those who do. Agreed but how do we decide who knows and who knows but is not telling the truth and who knows and just wishes to use the 'green agenda' to control our lives. It is currently being demanded of us, no it is being forced upon us, that we give up ICE cars very soon, that we do not use fossil fuels in electric generation that we live colder, shallower, narrower lives as a necessity and to get there we have to make many more sacrifices. My point is I think there are many lies being told and many of those lies are not to save the planet but to further personal agendas and those who do are using many people of the green persuasion whose integrity I do not question but whose commitment to that cause I do
|
|
|
Post by patman post on Oct 28, 2023 15:23:22 GMT
Surely the reality is that even if human or animal activity didn't or doesn't cause climate change, the high level of human produced greenhouse gas is exacerbating the problem. IMO humans have a responsibility to the planet to clean up their act. Success in this area should prove to be beneficial for the planet and for human life. No. First of all carbon dioxide is a heavier than air gas that ought to be removed by dissolving in the oceans nit being boosted up tonthe stratosphere. Second analysis of gases trapped in various places suggest the ancient history of the planet featured higher Co2 and we didn’t have s runaway armageddon like Venus did we…. There are a number of such questions. But in a world where any who question are modern day hitlers ….. In still air, that'd possibly help. But the air is not still it's turbulent, and carbon dioxide is a gas that gets buffeted around by other gases and, like them, gets excited by solar radiation. That's why CO2 can be found way up in the atmosphere at about 80km, where it's sat on by lighter gases that can get higher...
|
|
|
Post by sandypine on Oct 28, 2023 15:54:37 GMT
Then you should have read it as it deals with teh values as presented for our info, much twiddled and manipulated as they have been, but those are the values to work on Worth a read and a look at teh graph which I hope comes up A second important new paper is from Antonis Christofides and co-authors dated September 26, 2023. They introduce their paper with a long post of that date at Climate, Etc. titled “Causality and Climate.” The part of the full technical paper relating to the climate science application can be found at this link. If you go to that last link and try to read through it, you will find technical math that will quickly have your head swimming, even if you are a quasi math geek like myself. However, their fundamental point as to causality in climate science is not very complicated: if you plot recent temperature increases against increases in CO2 in the atmosphere, it’s the temperature increases that come first, and the CO2 increases follow. Thus, if there is causality, it must be that the temperature increase is causing the CO2 increase, rather than the other way around. Here is the key chart from the post at Climate, Etc.. The authors present it as a quiz: look at the chart, and the explanations, and without any further mathematical analysis, draw a conclusion as to the direction of causation: From the technical paper: [T]he surprising finding [is] that, while in general the causal relationship of atmospheric T and CO2 concentration, as obtained by proxy data, appears to be of hen-or- egg type with principal direction 𝑇 → [CO2], in the recent decades the more accurate modern data support a conclusion that this principal direction has become exclusive. In other words, it is the increase of temperature that caused increased CO2 concentration. Though this conclusion may sound counterintuitive at first glance, because it contradicts common perception (and for this reason we have assessed the case with an alternative parametric methodology in the Supplementary Information, section SI2.4, with results confirming those presented here), in fact it is reasonable. The temperature increase began at the end of the Little Ice Period, in the early 19th century, when human CO2 emissions were negligible; hence other factors, such as the solar activity (measured by sunspot numbers), as well as internal long-range mechanisms of the complex climatic systems had to play their roles. Bugger did not work go to the link to check the graph, sorry my skill set in this is limited. I've seen this claim before anyway. But it in no way explains the much faster increases in temperature in the last 5 decades. There is no excess solar activity, no earth tilt/ orbit to explain away the current rises. There is reasonable historical evidence that increased temperature releases Co2 from the soil which in turn increases temperature. But your chicken an egg only works if you can explain the cause of the sudden very recent heating in the first place. This is where your ah but they measured it all in the wrong places theory steps in . Because a blogger found a gauge that's now in the sun where it used to be in the shade. Have any of your assets ever offered a source for the 5,000,000,000,000,000 Joules of energy needed to heat the earth by 1 degree. We know its not the sun, so where do they say its coming from. I do not have to explain as it is you and your ilk that are saying it is CO2 with a cause and effect yet we see that the cause comes after the effect which makes no sense. As regards oodles of energy is that not the point that cloud cover, greenhouse gases and lots of other things contribute to a warming effect, perhaps the reduction of ash in the atmosphere or sulphur dioxide or perhaps people have been playing with the weather by seeding clouds or perhaps it is God's work. I do not know, what concerns me most is that there is a demand we do something, that something involves significant cost to every British family and individual and significant near future change in lifestyles and that demand is based on science that many people question, many of them actual climate scientists.
|
|
|
Post by zanygame on Oct 28, 2023 17:56:36 GMT
I've seen this claim before anyway. But it in no way explains the much faster increases in temperature in the last 5 decades. There is no excess solar activity, no earth tilt/ orbit to explain away the current rises. There is reasonable historical evidence that increased temperature releases Co2 from the soil which in turn increases temperature. But your chicken an egg only works if you can explain the cause of the sudden very recent heating in the first place. This is where your ah but they measured it all in the wrong places theory steps in . Because a blogger found a gauge that's now in the sun where it used to be in the shade. Have any of your assets ever offered a source for the 5,000,000,000,000,000 Joules of energy needed to heat the earth by 1 degree. We know its not the sun, so where do they say its coming from. I do not have to explain as it is you and your ilk that are saying it is CO2 with a cause and effect yet we see that the cause comes after the effect which makes no sense. As regards oodles of energy is that not the point that cloud cover, greenhouse gases and lots of other things contribute to a warming effect, perhaps the reduction of ash in the atmosphere or sulphur dioxide or perhaps people have been playing with the weather by seeding clouds or perhaps it is God's work. I do not know, what concerns me most is that there is a demand we do something, that something involves significant cost to every British family and individual and significant near future change in lifestyles and that demand is based on science that many people question, many of them actual climate scientists. Has cloud cover changed in the last 30 years? Now you're guessing at sulphur dioxide. Give me evidence that this could create 5,000,000,000,000,000 Joules of energy. That's what the scientists blaming Co2 had to prove, that it was capable of that green house effect.
|
|
|
Post by sandypine on Oct 28, 2023 18:45:13 GMT
I do not have to explain as it is you and your ilk that are saying it is CO2 with a cause and effect yet we see that the cause comes after the effect which makes no sense. As regards oodles of energy is that not the point that cloud cover, greenhouse gases and lots of other things contribute to a warming effect, perhaps the reduction of ash in the atmosphere or sulphur dioxide or perhaps people have been playing with the weather by seeding clouds or perhaps it is God's work. I do not know, what concerns me most is that there is a demand we do something, that something involves significant cost to every British family and individual and significant near future change in lifestyles and that demand is based on science that many people question, many of them actual climate scientists. Has cloud cover changed in the last 30 years? Now you're guessing at sulphur dioxide. Give me evidence that this could create 5,000,000,000,000,000 Joules of energy. That's what the scientists blaming Co2 had to prove, that it was capable of that green house effect. I have no idea if cloud cover has changed, you asked what else could it be. Many things have changed over the last 30years. Are they seeding clouds and interfering with natural climate. I do not know, some think they are but who knows.The point is that CO2 has a capability but that capability is not borne out by the figures taken from official sources as they show that CO2 trails temperature. It is like saying punches cause black eyes and look here is a graph that shows the incidence of black eyes with the punches following a few steps behind. It makes no sense as a cause and effect situation.
|
|
|
Post by zanygame on Oct 28, 2023 18:54:34 GMT
Has cloud cover changed in the last 30 years? Now you're guessing at sulphur dioxide. Give me evidence that this could create 5,000,000,000,000,000 Joules of energy. That's what the scientists blaming Co2 had to prove, that it was capable of that green house effect. I have no idea if cloud cover has changed, you asked what else could it be. Many things have changed over the last 30years. Are they seeding clouds and interfering with natural climate. I do not know, some think they are but who knows.The point is that CO2 has a capability but that capability is not borne out by the figures taken from official sources as they show that CO2 trails temperature. It is like saying punches cause black eyes and look here is a graph that shows the incidence of black eyes with the punches following a few steps behind. It makes no sense as a cause and effect situation. Jeez. I got to make a list of these things for next time you say I'm closed minded. Maybe they're seeding clouds. Sigh. Seeding clouds makes them rain and effectively removes them, it doesn't make more of them to cause warming. Co2 trails warming? Over what time period? Are we back to the last ice age again? If so yes as the world warmed at the end of the ice age large amounts of trapped Co2 were released into the atmosphere increasing warming. But ice is long gone and didn't happen in the 20th century
|
|