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Post by bancroft on Jul 18, 2023 12:39:22 GMT
Sobering analysis of Germany's economic challenges. Suddenly, a perfect storm is brewing over the former European powerhouse, signaling that its current recession isn’t just “technical,” as policymakers pray, but rather a harbinger of a fundamental reversal in economic fortunes that threatens to send tremors across Europe, injecting even more upheaval into the Continent’s already polarized political landscape. Confronted by a toxic cocktail of high energy costs, worker shortages and reams of red tape, many of Germany’s biggest companies — from giants like Volkswagen and Siemens to a host of lesser-known, smaller ones — are experiencing a rude awakening and scrambling for greener pastures in North America and Asia. Absent an unexpected turnaround, it’s hard to avoid the conclusion that Germany is headed for a much deeper economic decline. The reports from the front lines are only getting worse. Unemployment rose year-on-year by about 200,000 in June, a month when companies normally add jobs. Though the overall unemployment rate remains low at 5.7 percent and the number of job vacancies high at nearly 800,000, German officials are bracing for more bad news. “We’re beginning to feel the difficult economic conditions in the labor market,” German labor office head Andrea Nahles said. “Unemployment is rising and employment growth is losing momentum.” Much more here: www.politico.eu/article/rust-belt-on-the-rhine-the-deindustrialization-of-germany/
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Post by Dan Dare on Jul 18, 2023 13:10:37 GMT
An interesting article but a little over-apocalyptic. The strength of the German economy is not the giant multinational corporations like VW and BASF, but in its Mittenstand, the thousands of small and medium enterprises, often privately or even family-owned. That is where the bulk of innovation happens especially in the south of the country where firms that once made cuckoo-clocks now produce advanced high-quality components and subsystems for the Big Boys, as well high-end consumer goods. Nowhere else in Europe, and especially not in China, is there such a concentration of high-value precision manufacturing.
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Post by bancroft on Jul 18, 2023 14:26:09 GMT
It says a storm is brewing so it might not come to pass anyway here is a comment on their Mittelstand's view -
One sometimes hears about ‘creeping deindustrialization — well, it’s not just creeping anymore,” said Hans-Jürgen Völz, chief economist at BVMW, an association that lobbies for Germany’s Mittelstand, the thousands of small- and medium-sized firms that form the backbone of the country’s economy.
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