Child's Play: Preparation for a Life of Lying?

I rightly waved it away. Machines have been making people redundant for centuries. We were talking about machines taking over, dominating human beings. They are two different conversations.

And universities still apportion grades on the basis of written exams at undergraduate level. Anti-plagiarism software is available to check assignments.

I don't think you are being charitable enough to my position and that is locking you into a corner.

A human race that has outsourced its understanding of the world, has also outsourced its decision making. If you want to maintain that this situation isn't effectively a 'take-over', then you are just messing with semantics.

The anti plagiarism processes don't work on Ai material. The material looks like original work (or can easily be made to do so).

You wont even realise what is happening at first

Let's talk about something close to both our hearts - arguing politics
With the current speed of development, i would say it will be less than a year before you can't tell if you arguing here with responses provided by a machine which are drawn from the input of your messages. Within two years, you wont be able to beat the thing, even if it's wrong berceuse the resources it has at its disposal are so large compared to the few dozen inaccurate facts most humans can maintain and bring
Political parties will use it to write statements of intent, speeches and to fine tune manifestos / policies - at first.

To some extent this has already started.

A public discussion is how we decide what to do next - but this process of humans persuading each other will become near meaningless in the next few years.

On the PHD front, it can create new discovery now in many domains. Looking for a novel (previously un-noted) pattern in a large amount of data and then create a presentation around it - this can be done. Proper innovation - ie creating a new physical theory is maybe 6 years away. Beyond that it starts to get a bit peculiar

I think it was Robert Winston who on a documentary on child development said if your child has not lied to you by the age of four you have a problem.

He defended his words thus.

For the earliest part of their lives children look upon their mothers as an all seeing all knowing god but as they develop their own sense of their awareness and limitations and crucially conclude their parents have those same limits.

So by the age of four at the very latest you should have experienced a scenario where your little darling does something like tip over an ornament when you are diverted say to an item in the kitchen

You return to find whatever spilled, or broken and accuse them of the act

Up to the point of awareness the child will admit to it as they cannot understand how you would not know.

At the point of awareness they feel they can blame the cat, dog, brother, sister etc. It is a critical stage in development as much as being able to wipe their own arse and you must hold onto that fact.

What you do about the little bugger lying to you Dr Winston did not say…