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Post by happyjack on Jan 11, 2023 17:59:35 GMT
The part of GERS that is anywhere near correct is that part dealing with Scot Gov finances. The rest, on reserved matters, is pure guesswork. The operative word in all the bollocks you came up with is "attempt". And your description - an estimate - despite how you try and gloss over it means there are serious drawbacks with GERS. Oh dear! Another Indy fanatic demonstrates his inability to read, process and understand. This seems to be a common characteristic of all of these guys. The “bollocks” that you refer to aren’t my words but those of the Fraser of Allander Institute. And the description that you credit me with ie. “an estimate” is neither mine nor accurate either (ie. the term used was “estimation”) but, once again, that of the Fraser of Allander Institute. I made it clear in my post that I was quoting extracts from the links, and the quoted extracts are in italicised font wrapped in quotation marks, but all of that was not enough for you to grasp that point. I should be surprised but I am not. If you had taken the time to actually read through the links then you would have seen that both of the terms that so offend you are included within the 2nd link under the section headed “And please guys… dodge the myths!” However, if you want to defend the twisted and erroneous narrative that you subscribe to, you have little choice but to repeatedly peddle the sort of lines that you have, once again, used here to try to deflect from the inconvenient truth of the GERS figures.
Let’s just remind ourselves what the Fraser of Allander Institute said about behaviour such as yours ie. “Some people look to discredit the veracity of GERS because it relies – in part – on estimation. Estimation is a part of all economic statistics and is not a reason to dismiss the figures as “made up. Will the numbers change if you make different reasonable assumptions about the bits of GERS that are estimated? In short, not to any great extent.”
In other words, the margin for error in the GERS figures is small, and whether the fiscal shortfall that an new Indy Scottish government would face is exactly £23.7 billion per annum or not, doesn’t change the fact that the scale of the problem is circa £23.7billion per annum.
And just in case you didn’t pick up on this shocking point either, that is -12.3% of Scotland’s GDP, which the normally unflappable Fraser of Allander Institute describe as a stark challenge. The comparable figure for the UK as a whole was -6.1% btw.
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Post by research0it on Jan 11, 2023 18:32:37 GMT
The part of GERS that is anywhere near correct is that part dealing with Scot Gov finances. The rest, on reserved matters, is pure guesswork. The operative word in all the bollocks you came up with is "attempt". And your description - an estimate - despite how you try and gloss over it means there are serious drawbacks with GERS. Oh dear! Another Indy fanatic demonstrates his inability to read, process and understand. This seems to be a common characteristic of all of these guys. The “bollocks” that you refer to aren’t my words but those of the Fraser of Allander Institute. And the description that you credit me with ie. “an estimate” is neither mine nor accurate either (ie. the term used was “estimation”) but, once again, that of the Fraser of Allander Institute. I made it clear in my post that I was quoting extracts from the links, and the quoted extracts are in italicised font wrapped in quotation marks, but all of that was not enough for you to grasp that point. I should be surprised but I am not. If you had taken the time to actually read through the links then you would have seen that both of the terms that so offend you are included within the 2nd link under the section headed “And please guys… dodge the myths!” However, if you want to defend the twisted and erroneous narrative that you subscribe to, you have little choice but to repeatedly peddle the sort of lines that you have, once again, used here to try to deflect from the inconvenient truth of the GERS figures.
Let’s just remind ourselves what the Fraser of Allander Institute said about behaviour such as yours ie. “Some people look to discredit the veracity of GERS because it relies – in part – on estimation. Estimation is a part of all economic statistics and is not a reason to dismiss the figures as “made up. Will the numbers change if you make different reasonable assumptions about the bits of GERS that are estimated? In short, not to any great extent.”
In other words, the margin for error in the GERS figures is small, and whether the fiscal shortfall that an new Indy Scottish government would face is exactly £23.7 billion per annum or not, doesn’t change the fact that the scale of the problem is circa £23.7billion per annum.
And just in case you didn’t pick up on this shocking point either, that is -12.3% of Scotland’s GDP, which the normally unflappable Fraser of Allander Institute describe as a stark challenge. The comparable figure for the UK as a whole was -6.1% btw.
Hi happyjack I'm ok with the gers figures in the respect that they illustrate the point of my OP -Scotland does not have enough of a tax base to cover the costs of public services. Therefore Westminster borrows the money on our behalf. My point is, what's the uk going to do about it if we stay and what's the independence plans if we leave. I have a couple of minor quibbles about the starting point for independence, however. Much of the reserved and unidentifiable costs are CHARGED TO Scotland and not spent there, denying scotland the economic growth and taxes that government expenditure promotes IF THE MONEY IS SPENT IN THE COUNTRY. Secondly , without London s surplus, probably every other region would also be in deficit, which again, is the point of the OP.
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Post by jaydee on Jan 11, 2023 20:57:54 GMT
Has nobody told you GERs is a load of drivel. Yes, you and the couple of Indy fanatics on this and/or on the old site have told me that many times, but that is what is drivel, not the GERS figures.
Stick to wee baby girl writing. Your capitals trying to make out it is big grown up writing, makes you look even more clueless. What capitals? to all he borfowing from l;oal authorites Ah so matey what you are beleiving is that in GERS is that Scotland is responsible for 60% of the UK deficit. And you swallow that garbage. What it is telling you you is what Westminster spends on behalf of Scotland not necessary in Scotland. Such as the cost of the Home Office. And debt servicing. Which Scotland is not responsible for. Let me give you a example. Last year the UK government has a PSBR of som £320 billion. Would you care to point to where the £32 billion came to Scotland to be spent by he Scots in Scotland. After all the Scottish tax payer has to pay it back. Then could you give me the same for the year before and the year before that What GERs is telling you is TOTAL UK PUBLIC EXPENDIURE. Which means all the tax intakes from UK borrowing and all the borrowing from UK local authorities added together and divided on a population basis. That means matey. Yorkshire has the same population as Scotland. So the exact same criteria applies to Yorkshire. What GERs is not telling you is what a indy Scotland would have. Such as 100% of oil and gas. They are considered UK assets. Or corporation tax and the tax intake of some 400,000 who work in that sector. Or the down stream tax on all that. Not as 8.4% sharfe. But a 100% share. As that money now is paying for the £600 pound every house hold in the UK is getting of Scotland money by the UJK government. And a million and one similar anomalies, such as corporation tax on firms such as Asda. And what has the likes of the £4 billion on London sewage or the billions on the HSL or the billions on London transport such as the Jubilee line, amongst million of the Englsih local authority borrowing has to do with Scotland defies the hell out of me.. And what it is not saying. Is a Scotland on its own. Or if it had been it would have a welfare fund of some £600 billion such as that accrued by Norway. That drivel matey is yours. As you do not understand how it works. Not to mention. Over the last 40 years Scotland has contributed 9.6% of all Uk tax with 8.4% of the population. And the only Uk nation to pay its way in the UK. Not to mention since it took power the ScotGov has underspent with its own money. Which does not cost the English tax payer one penny. Despite your nonsensical drivel to the contrary. And as the risk assessment man rants more nonsensical drivel. You still have not told me what this risk assessment is. Or how your risk assessment arrived a the conclusion Scotland would be worse off out of the UK. When the UK debt ridden figures prove otherwise. Your figures matey from your risk assessment. For capital's read bold. I am sure it was beyond you to work it out. It is impressing nobody but you. I am still waiting on answers to your UK court. www.taxresearch.org.uk/Blog/2019/08/21/the-gers-data-is-ludicrous-scotland-does-not-generate-60-of-the-uks-net-fiscal-deficit/www.channel4.com/news/factcheck/factcheck-has-scotland-subsidised-the-rest-of-the-ukwww.businessforscotland.com/revealed-the-accounting-trick-that-hides-scotlands-wealth/
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Post by jaydee on Jan 11, 2023 21:04:16 GMT
It is pipe dreams like this that encourage those without the power of thought to believe the SNP nonsense. All your power is owned by the Spanish anyway, just concentrate on teaching your children the alphabet and fill in your pot holes. What power is owned by the Spanish. It is a retained mater. English power is owned by the French. And English water supplies ae 70% owned by foreign companies. That is why you pay to drink your own shite. Do you actually think before you post
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Post by jaydee on Jan 11, 2023 21:15:35 GMT
The only thing I would counsel to Scots is to decide on what you want the future to look like and the most likely route to get there, not on current competencies and make up of administrations in Edinburgh or London. Scottish Secretary currently says otherwise: www.gov.uk/government/news/levelling-up-reaches-new-heights-in-scotland#:~:text=The%20UK%20Government's%20funding%20for,of%20further%20investment%20in%202023. Scotland has already had over 2 billion pumped into it. And perhaps your own SNP government could raise these concerns instead of ignoring and failing in policy areas rather than bang the same old tired 'moaning mindset' they have been doing re. independene. Levelling up. What a complete and utter load of guff from Jack the Ripper. The man who never was, From the rfeicanastion of Bojoke the muppet king. Levelling up is just another utterly meaningless soundbite. On the same level as Brexit means brexit.. Lets take back control, and all that Havering slavering drivel. To get Johnston through his next lie. And for clowns to belief. On the same level as a North Korean whitewash. It is bullshit to cover up, in the short term the fact that it will be 60% less of what the regions of England and Scotland would have had while it was in the EU. Which will now cost around £2 trillion yes that really is £2,000,000,000,000 to level up. That £2,000,000,000,000 or £2 thousand thousand thousand thousand is what the regions of England have contributed to London over the years, to keep London, the biggest subsidy junky aea in the world, in a manner they are accustomed to. That is why they can afford 20% of their wages on London Weighting. That is anywhere between £8,000 and you put a figure on it. The Liar King has given £4.8 billion. Ah well only £1.6 trillion to go. Some of that has already been awarded. Guess what. To Tory run councils. So that is a cover up for his next lie. He has of course is now gone. So Jack lies for him. Or to put it another way.Jobs for the boys coming to a Tory council near you. How anyone can still swallow the absolute utter lying fanny being spewed by Jack, this disgrace to a public office. Really defies the hell out of me. It of course begs the question. Why was levelling up necessary in the first place? Or has that not dawned on you www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/aug/15/the-cost-of-boris-johnsons-levelling-up-2tn-says-uk-thinktankwww.theguardian.com/society/2021/nov/02/levelling-up-funds-awarded-to-local-councils-of-tory-ministers
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Post by om15 on Jan 11, 2023 21:36:25 GMT
This is the latest ferry update.
Scottish Power is a vertically integrated energy company based in Glasgow, Scotland. It is a subsidiary of Spanish utility firm Iberdrola.
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Post by research0it on Jan 11, 2023 21:57:58 GMT
This is the latest ferry update. Scottish Power is a vertically integrated energy company based in Glasgow, Scotland. It is a subsidiary of Spanish utility firm Iberdrola. Hi Om15 I agree with you on that one. It's time the uk government managed resources for the population's benefit, not for multi nationals. The same for the first independent Scottish government, if it happens. I have zero confidence that the uk will do that one. Scotland? Maybe. Bet you didn't think you'd be making a case for independence.
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Post by morayloon on Jan 11, 2023 22:49:15 GMT
The part of GERS that is anywhere near correct is that part dealing with Scot Gov finances. The rest, on reserved matters, is pure guesswork. The operative word in all the bollocks you came up with is "attempt". And your description - an estimate - despite how you try and gloss over it means there are serious drawbacks with GERS. Oh dear! Another Indy fanatic demonstrates his inability to read, process and understand. This seems to be a common characteristic of all of these guys. The “bollocks” that you refer to aren’t my words but those of the Fraser of Allander Institute. And the description that you credit me with ie. “an estimate” is neither mine nor accurate either (ie. the term used was “estimation”) but, once again, that of the Fraser of Allander Institute. I made it clear in my post that I was quoting extracts from the links, and the quoted extracts are in italicised font wrapped in quotation marks, but all of that was not enough for you to grasp that point. I should be surprised but I am not. If you had taken the time to actually read through the links then you would have seen that both of the terms that so offend you are included within the 2nd link under the section headed “And please guys… dodge the myths!” However, if you want to defend the twisted and erroneous narrative that you subscribe to, you have little choice but to repeatedly peddle the sort of lines that you have, once again, used here to try to deflect from the inconvenient truth of the GERS figures.
Let’s just remind ourselves what the Fraser of Allander Institute said about behaviour such as yours ie. “Some people look to discredit the veracity of GERS because it relies – in part – on estimation. Estimation is a part of all economic statistics and is not a reason to dismiss the figures as “made up. Will the numbers change if you make different reasonable assumptions about the bits of GERS that are estimated? In short, not to any great extent.”
In other words, the margin for error in the GERS figures is small, and whether the fiscal shortfall that an new Indy Scottish government would face is exactly £23.7 billion per annum or not, doesn’t change the fact that the scale of the problem is circa £23.7billion per annum.
And just in case you didn’t pick up on this shocking point either, that is -12.3% of Scotland’s GDP, which the normally unflappable Fraser of Allander Institute describe as a stark challenge. The comparable figure for the UK as a whole was -6.1% btw.
Oh dear, I seem to have hit a raw nerve. Back at your nit pickery I see. So, I said "an estimate" instead of "estimation", big deal! ("an estimate" was not in quotation marks, sort of gives the game away) Grow up man! For someone who tries to portray himself as neutral on the constitutional question, but then goes on to show that he is, with every utterance, a raving unionist, you have no right to take the moral high ground. The 'bollocks' reference was in response to your response to JD that what he was saying was "drivel" You set too much stock by the Fraser of Allander folk. There are others, Richard Murphy for example, who take the view that GERS is not what it is made out to be. archive2021.parliament.scot/S5_EconomyJobsFairWork/Inquiries/EDI-003-Professor_Richard_Murphy.pdfThe figures shown in GERS are not indicative of where, economically, an Independent Scotland would be on independence. I mentioned Murphy in a previous spat with you. If I remember rightly you didn't read any of the linked to articles. And you have the temerity to rant and rave at others for not reading stuff that you post One thing, although I do not put my faith in GERS, I have never said that it is a UK Government exercise. What I say is that the reserved matters part of GERS is down to work carried out by UK civil servants, statisticians etc. They work for the State and as such are part of the propaganda machine that is the UK establishment. And, if you scoff at the 'propaganda' suggestion, you are even further distanced from reality than I thought. As for twisting the truth, you are up there with the best.
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Post by morayloon on Jan 11, 2023 23:19:21 GMT
The part of GERS that is anywhere near correct is that part dealing with Scot Gov finances. The rest, on reserved matters, is pure guesswork. The operative word in all the bollocks you came up with is "attempt". And your description - an estimate - despite how you try and gloss over it means there are serious drawbacks with GERS. Hi morayloon Do you not think, for the sake of independence planning, it's safer to assume that GERs are correct. I have my doubts about some of the costs for reserved matters, but don't want nasty surprises post independence either. GERS is an attempt to get to get to grips with Scotland's economic standing and it applies only to Scotland in the Union. An Independent Scotland will not have the same spending priorities as the UK Government. The £30 billion (or however much it is) sum retained by Westminster will probably see increased support for the NHS, increased spending on benefits, pensions etc. rather than buy into weapons of mass destruction, general munitions, warfare and so on. If Scotland did have a deficit, our government would do what other countries do - borrow. At present Scotland only has very limited borrowing powers, something which is holding us back. You seem to be taking the too wee, too poor argument to heart. Numerous states of similar size to, and smaller than, Scotland exist throughout the world. Many were controlled by the Brits and many of them are wealthier now than they ever were under colonial rule. And as T says, all of the former colonies were told they would not be able to run their country without the help of the colonialists.
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Post by Vinny on Jan 11, 2023 23:45:26 GMT
GERS is the official report of the devolved SNP administration.
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Post by morayloon on Jan 12, 2023 0:00:55 GMT
GERS is the official report of the devolved SNP administration. And the SNP Government balances the books. All administrations since 1999 have done so. It is a legal necessity
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Post by Vinny on Jan 12, 2023 0:11:14 GMT
No, it doesn't, it is a tax borrow spend money it hasn't got far left orgy of short term profligacy.
Scotland needs fiscal responsibility, actual traditional economic Conservatism propped up with a strong private sector.
SNP out.
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Post by research0it on Jan 12, 2023 3:54:32 GMT
No, it doesn't, it is a tax borrow spend money it hasn't got far left orgy of short term profligacy. Scotland needs fiscal responsibility, actual traditional economic Conservatism propped up with a strong private sector. SNP out. Hi vinny That's factually incorrect. The Scottish government has very limited borrowing powers and the deficit comes from the calculation of the cost of devolved matters added to the cost of reserved and unidentifiable matters. The Scottish government has no control over the last two. Could you do me a favour? If you come back to me on this?, please tell me what is specifically wrong with the last paragraph. Do not ignore it and just repeat what you've said already. And answer the question from long ago about why you're so emotionally engaged with the whole issue of scotland and independence. I'm beginning to think this forum is not the place for me. It's a place where people shout, not debate and ignore others points if the contradict their beliefs.
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Post by jaydee on Jan 12, 2023 9:41:43 GMT
No, it doesn't, it is a tax borrow spend money it hasn't got far left orgy of short term profligacy. Scotland needs fiscal responsibility, actual traditional economic Conservatism propped up with a strong private sector. SNP out. Hi vinny That's factually incorrect. The Scottish government has very limited borrowing powers and the deficit comes from the calculation of the cost of devolved matters added to the cost of reserved and unidentifiable matters. The Scottish government has no control over the last two. Could you do me a favour? If you come back to me on this?, please tell me what is specifically wrong with the last paragraph. Do not ignore it and just repeat what you've said already. And answer the question from long ago about why you're so emotionally engaged with the whole issue of scotland and independence. I'm beginning to think this forum is not the place for me. It's a place where people shout, not debate and ignore others points if the contradict their beliefs. The debt is UK. Not Scottish, North east, South West or what ever, Created because the English cannot live within their means. Scotland is not responsible for any of it. In terms of the Uk the ScotGov has no borrowing power. Capital borrowing can be used to supplement capital spending within the limits of the Fiscal Framework. These limits are £450 million per annum and £3,000 million in total. From that in the the last few years. The ScotGov have produced the Queensferry Crossing, the Aberdeen City bypass, then the largest civil engineering project in Europe, the M9 upgrade. And a million and one smaller projects at local authority level. Such as the M74 through Ayrshire. Including miles of average speed cameras. And it still underspent. In terms of your last sentence. I hate to be I told you so. But I told you so. It is filled with idiotic despicable Englishmen who have no desire to debate but just fill the forum with shite. Destroying a thread, trying to be a smart arse, then disappear. One of the reason why the old forum closed down. This is what happens when they disagree. See link. And he was desperate to be a moderator. Every ScotNat was a Nazi to him. same as the TSM. I have blanked him from here. But I can still read what he said on a reply to his posts.. The technical expression. The same havering slastering undiluted shite.
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Post by jaydee on Jan 12, 2023 10:28:21 GMT
This is the latest ferry update. ]Scottish Power is a vertically integrated energy company based in Glasgow, Scotland. It is a subsidiary of Spanish utility firm Iberdrola. Tell me something. What is the update. It is called a fuck up. It is a fuck yesterday and will always be a fuck up. With the usual rants of it MIGHT be illegal. So how about you telling me what part is illegal. Like your previous drivel on how the money was stolen by the First Minister. . Debate at last. Not shite or drivel. I did not know Scottish power was owned by the Spanish. I know ScottishPower is the distribution network operator for Central and Southern Scotland, Merseyside, North Wales and parts of Cheshire and Shropshire Also the transmission owner for the south of Scotland. The company also supplies electricity and gas to homes and businesses around the United Kingdom. A sad day when you do not learn something. And oh. I forgot to add. T his is the latest Ferry update. The author of your link was responsible for the ferry contract. He rejected any suggestions that Scottish Government ministers, such as himself or First Minister Nicola Sturgeon, were to blame. As once more with you. Head down arse up and off you go without looking. You just are not going to learn. As your bile and hate takes over. news.stv.tv/politics/derek-mackay-calmac-ferry-cost-overruns-a-scandalous-state-of-affairs
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